Analysis

12/7/22

14 min read

Matthew Hill's NFL Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings

Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings

This article features my complete rankings for NFL Week 14 and blubs highlighting players I have above or below consensus, according to how my rankings match up with the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR).

My initial rankings are my first impressions of players based on matchups and recent trends. Look for updated rankings and additional player blurbs throughout the week as new information presents itself.

Top 20 Quarterbacks

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Jalen Hurts PHI QB @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
2 Patrick Mahomes II KC QB @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
3 Josh Allen BUF QB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
4 Joe Burrow CIN QB vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
5 Justin Herbert LAC QB vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
6 Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
7 Geno Smith SEA QB vs CAR Sun 4:25pm ET
8 Kyler Murray ARI QB vs NE Mon 8:15pm ET
9 Kirk Cousins MIN QB @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
10 Jared Goff DET QB vs MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
11 Dak Prescott DAL QB vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
12 Derek Carr LV QB @ LAR Thu 8:15pm ET
13 Trevor Lawrence JAC QB @ TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
14 Deshaun Watson CLE QB @ CIN Sun 1:00pm ET
15 Daniel Jones NYG QB vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
16 Mike White NYJ QB @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
17 Tom Brady TB QB @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
18 Tyler Huntley BAL QB @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
19 Ryan Tannehill TEN QB vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
20 Mac Jones NE QB @ ARI Mon 8:15pm ET
  • Geno Smith has five top-seven finishes on the season, has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 10 of 12 games and has four 320+ yard games. Smith has been elite all season, and while his ECR of QB is high, it might be several spots too low in a home game vs. Carolina.
  • Jared Goff finished as QB4 last week, his third top-eight outing of the year. His weapons are getting healthy. Their first-round pick Jameson Williams made his debut, and D'Andre Swift played more than half the team's snaps for the first time this season. Goff is a low-end QB1 with upside in a home contest vs. Minnesota.
  • Tyler Huntley posted 16 fantasy points in only three quarters after Lamar Jackson left with a knee injury. While there is early optimism Jackson's injury is not season-ending, chances are good Huntley will get the start against the Steelers in Week 14. Huntley has an overall QB1 week on his resume when he combined for four touchdowns (two pass/three run), ran for 74 yards on 13 carries in Week 15 last season.
  • Daniel Jones has finished as a QB1 twice in the past three weeks. This week, he'll play an Eagles team that will force him to air the ball out to keep up with Jalen Hurts. New York has asked more of Jones recently. He has attempted 110 passes and added 135 yards rushing with a score since Week 11.

Top 50 Running Backs

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Austin Ekeler LAC RB vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
2 Josh Jacobs LV RB @ LAR Thu 8:15pm ET
3 Christian McCaffrey SF RB vs TB Sun 4:25pm ET
4 Derrick Henry TEN RB vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
5 Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB @ ARI Mon 8:15pm ET
6 Dalvin Cook MIN RB @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
7 Joe Mixon CIN RB vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
8 Nick Chubb CLE RB @ CIN Sun 1:00pm ET
9 Tony Pollard DAL RB vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
10 D'Andre Swift DET RB vs MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
11 Saquon Barkley NYG RB vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
12 Miles Sanders PHI RB @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
13 Travis Etienne Jr. JAC RB @ TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
14 Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
15 James Conner ARI RB vs NE Mon 8:15pm ET
16 Isiah Pacheco KC RB @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
17 Najee Harris PIT RB vs BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
18 Dameon Pierce HOU RB @ DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
19 D'Onta Foreman CAR RB @ SEA Sun 4:25pm ET
20 Latavius Murray DEN RB vs KC Sun 4:05pm ET
21 Rachaad White TB RB @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
22 Leonard Fournette TB RB @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
23 James Cook BUF RB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
24 Jamaal Williams DET RB vs MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
25 Cam Akers LAR RB vs LV Thu 8:15pm ET
26 Raheem Mostert MIA RB @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
27 Jeff Wilson Jr. MIA RB @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
28 Zonovan Knight NYJ RB @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
29 Devin Singletary BUF RB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
30 Jerick McKinnon KC RB @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
31 Travis Homer SEA RB vs CAR Sun 4:25pm ET
32 Kareem Hunt CLE RB @ CIN Sun 1:00pm ET
33 Samaje Perine CIN RB vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
34 Dontrell Hilliard TEN RB vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
35 Kyren Williams LAR RB vs LV Thu 8:15pm ET
36 J.K. Dobbins BAL RB @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
37 Chuba Hubbard CAR RB @ SEA Sun 4:25pm ET
38 Kenneth Gainwell PHI RB @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
39 Alexander Mattison MIN RB @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
40 Michael Carter NYJ RB @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
41 Jaylen Warren PIT RB vs BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
42 Joshua Kelley LAC RB vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
43 Jordan Mason SF RB vs TB Sun 4:25pm ET
44 Gus Edwards BAL RB @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
45 Tony Jones Jr. SEA RB vs CAR Sun 4:25pm ET
46 Kenyan Drake BAL RB @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
47 Ameer Abdullah LV RB @ LAR Thu 8:15pm ET
48 Matt Breida NYG RB vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
49 Ty Johnson NYJ RB @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
50 Nyheim Hines BUF RB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
  • Christian McCaffrey appears back to being an every-week, overall RB1 contender after rushing for 66 yards on 17 carries and securing eight of 10 targets for an additional 80 yards and a score. Jordan Mason is a top-tier handcuff, the only other San Francisco running back to record a touch last week, rushing for 51 yards on eight carries. 
  • Swift has seen his snap share increase each of the past three weeks (30%, 39%, 51%) and is coming off an 18-touch performance where he finished as Week 13's RB5. Swift is a high-end RB2 with upside against the Vikings. 
  • Swift is trending up, and Jamaal Williams is going in the opposite direction. Williams continues to be a total non-factor in the passing game, having not seen a target since Week 8. With Swift seeing more than half the offensive snaps and doubling Williams' Week 13 red zone touches (8-4), Williams' fantasy value is plummeting. 
  • Zonovan Knight logged 15 of 20 of the Jets' running back carries, rushed for 90 yards and caught all five of his targets for an additional 28 yards. Ty Johnson did see seven targets and should retain a significant passing-down role, but Knight looks to be an undervalued lead back for as long as Michael Carter remains out.*UPDATE* Michael Carter returned to full practice and is expected to play. Knight should retain a role, possibly significant, but he slides multiple spots.
  • The James Cook breakout is happening, but you would never know it by looking at his consensus ranking. Cook has an early ECR in the '30s, only a few slots ahead of players like Johnson, Kyren Williams and Dontrell Hilliard. While I expect his ECR to correct itself over the week, people will remain hesitant to buy in until they "see it one more time." His 20 Week 13 touches, including six receptions, should be enough evidence Buffalo is ready to give their rookie a significant role. He's a low-end RB2 with upside in my initial rankings.

Top 65 Wide Receivers

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Justin Jefferson MIN WR @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
2 Davante Adams LV WR @ LAR Thu 8:15pm ET
3 Tyreek Hill MIA WR @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
4 Stefon Diggs BUF WR vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
5 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR vs MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
6 Ja'Marr Chase CIN WR vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
7 A.J. Brown PHI WR @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
8 CeeDee Lamb DAL WR vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
9 Tee Higgins CIN WR vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
10 DeAndre Hopkins ARI WR vs NE Mon 8:15pm ET
11 Jaylen Waddle MIA WR @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
12 DK Metcalf SEA WR vs CAR Sun 4:25pm ET
13 Keenan Allen LAC WR vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
14 Chris Godwin TB WR @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
15 Christian Kirk JAC WR @ TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
16 Garrett Wilson NYJ WR @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
17 Tyler Lockett SEA WR vs CAR Sun 4:25pm ET
18 DJ Moore CAR WR @ SEA Sun 4:25pm ET
19 Amari Cooper CLE WR @ CIN Sun 1:00pm ET
20 Mike Evans TB WR @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
21 Deebo Samuel SF WR vs TB Sun 4:25pm ET
22 DeVonta Smith PHI WR @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
23 Jerry Jeudy DEN WR vs KC Sun 4:05pm ET
24 Brandon Aiyuk SF WR vs TB Sun 4:25pm ET
25 Marquise Brown ARI WR vs NE Mon 8:15pm ET
26 Adam Thielen MIN WR @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
27 Joshua Palmer LAC WR vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
28 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE WR @ CIN Sun 1:00pm ET
29 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC WR @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
30 Gabe Davis BUF WR vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
31 George Pickens PIT WR vs BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
32 Mike Williams LAC WR vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
33 Zay Jones JAC WR @ TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
34 Diontae Johnson PIT WR vs BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
35 Tyler Boyd CIN WR vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
36 Darius Slayton NYG WR vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
37 D.J. Chark Jr. DET WR vs MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
38 Michael Gallup DAL WR vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
39 Mack Hollins LV WR @ LAR Thu 8:15pm ET
40 Isaiah McKenzie BUF WR vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
41 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC WR @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
42 Corey Davis NYJ WR @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
43 Devin Duvernay BAL WR @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
44 Van Jefferson LAR WR vs LV Thu 8:15pm ET
45 Robert Woods TEN WR vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
46 Nelson Agholor NE WR @ ARI Mon 8:15pm ET
47 Elijah Moore NYJ WR @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
48 Demarcus Robinson BAL WR @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
49 Marvin Jones Jr. JAC WR @ TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
50 DeVante Parker NE WR @ ARI Mon 8:15pm ET
51 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN WR vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
52 Chris Moore HOU WR @ DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
53 Julio Jones TB WR @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
54 Isaiah Hodgins NYG WR vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
55 Kendall Hinton DEN WR vs KC Sun 4:05pm ET
56 Quez Watkins PHI WR @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
57 Terrace Marshall Jr. CAR WR @ SEA Sun 4:25pm ET
58 K.J. Osborn MIN WR @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
59 Phillip Dorsett II HOU WR @ DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
60 Richie James Jr. NYG WR vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
61 DeAndre Carter LAC WR vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
62 Skyy Moore KC WR @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
63 Noah Brown DAL WR vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
64 Trent Sherfield MIA WR @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
65 Greg Dortch ARI WR vs NE Mon 8:15pm ET

 

  • Nico Collins has been trending up in recent weeks. Brandin Cooks being an early inactive with a calf injury only solidified Collins' claim to Houston's No.1 receiver chair. Collins has seen nine or more targets in three of four games, finding the end zone twice.*UPDATE* Nico Collins is out for Sunday. Chris Moore and Phillip Dorsett get small bumps in a brutal matchup at Dallas.
  • Garrett Wilson breaking out with a pair of back-to-back top-10 finishes has been glorious. It has also allowed Corey Davis' 10-target Week 13 to go largely overlooked. With the high-powered Bills offense up next, Mike White may need a repeat of last week's 57 attempts to keep pace, which puts Davis back on the WR3/flex radar. 
  • Both Keenan Allen and Josh Palmer saw elite usage in Week 13, combining for 24 of the Chargers' 27 wide receiver targets. Until Mike Williams returns, LAC's targets should remain consolidated in a game featuring an early 52-point total.*UPDATE* So much for consolidated targets. Mike Williams is looking good for Sunday, sliding Palmer into WR3 range with Williams. Keenan Allen remains a strong WR2 with upside in PPR.
  • Jerry Jeudy brought in all four of his targets for 65 yards in Week 13 and now takes on the Chiefs as Denver's clear WR1, with Courtland Sutton's status for this weekend uncertain. His ECR of WR34 is much too low.*UPDATE* Sutton is officially out for the Sunday and Jeudy’s ECR is now WR26. I have him at WR23, with Kendall Hinton becoming an interesting DFS dart throw.
  • The absence of Hayden Hurst should benefit Tyler Boyd, especially with defenses focused on containing Cincinnati's stud outside receivers and surging running game. Boyd's ECR of WR38 is several spots too low.
  • Michael Gallup's two Sunday night scores are the headline. However, he's seen at least seven targets in three of his last four games, which is more important for his consistency in the future. He is the locked-in, No.2 wide receiver for Dallas. 
  • Williams making his debut for the Lions in Week 13 was exciting news for the future of the Lions' offense. Until he works his way back to full health, however, the No.2 Detroit receiver of the present appears to be DJ Chark. Chark has seen his snaps increase dramatically during the past three weeks since his return from injury (14%, 78%, 86%) and is coming off a five-catch 98-yard outing in Week 13.
  • Jakobi Meyers remains in concussion protocol and is highly questionable for Monday night. While Patriots receivers are difficult to trust, Nelson Agholor gets the biggest bump. Agholor was WR14 in Week 12 when he posted a 6/65/1 line, playing 76% of the snaps. A similar snap share could be on tap Week 14.

Top 22 Tight Ends

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Travis Kelce KC TE @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
2 Mark Andrews BAL TE @ PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
3 T.J. Hockenson MIN TE @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
4 Pat Freiermuth PIT TE vs BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
5 Dalton Schultz DAL TE vs HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
6 George Kittle SF TE vs TB Sun 4:25pm ET
7 Greg Dulcich DEN TE vs KC Sun 4:05pm ET
8 Gerald Everett LAC TE vs MIA Sun 8:20pm ET
9 Foster Moreau LV TE @ LAR Thu 8:15pm ET
10 Evan Engram JAC TE @ TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
11 Tyler Higbee LAR TE vs LV Thu 8:15pm ET
12 Hunter Henry NE TE @ ARI Mon 8:15pm ET
13 Tyler Conklin NYJ TE @ BUF Sun 1:00pm ET
14 Dawson Knox BUF TE vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
15 Daniel Bellinger NYG TE vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
16 Noah Fant SEA TE vs CAR Sun 4:25pm ET
17 Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN TE vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
18 Mike Gesicki MIA TE @ LAC Sun 8:20pm ET
19 Cade Otton TB TE @ SF Sun 4:25pm ET
20 Mitchell Wilcox CIN TE vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
21 Jordan Akins HOU TE @ DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
22 Harrison Bryant CLE TE @ CIN Sun 1:00pm ET

 

  • Hunter Henry has been maddeningly inconsistent this year, but he has seen five targets in back-to-back weeks and gets the Cardinals, who have been ripped by tight ends all season. He is a borderline TE1 with upside this week.
  • Daniel Bellinger caught all five of his targets, playing all but two snaps in his return from eye surgery. Bellinger was the only Giant tight end to be targeted and is a locked-in TE2 the rest of the way. 
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has now surpassed 30 yards receiving in five straight games after bringing in four of five targets for 68 yards in Week 13. He may be asked to take on a greater role with Treylon Burks in concussion protocol.
  • Mitchell Wilcox had a 65% snap share, running 18 routes in relief of Hayden Hurst. Cleveland has not allowed a tight end to crest 70 yards this season, so expectations are tempered, but any player playing significant snaps in a surging Bengals offense is interesting.

WATCH: Week 14 Waiver Wire Show

 


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