Fantasy

Larky’s NFL Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings

week 15 fantasy rankings

Below you’ll find my Week 15 fantasy rankings for points per reception (PPR) and half-PPR leagues. Included are my top-32 QB Rankings, top-57 RB Rankings, top-63 WR Rankings and top-22 TE Rankings.

For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Dallas Cowboys and Jacksonville Jaguars have a Vegas game total of 47.5 with the Cowboys favored by 4.5 points (26 points implied for the Cowboys, 21.5 points implied for the Jaguars). Seeing the implied point totals can help you understand which games are projected to be high scoring.

xPPR (expected PPR points) is a new stat added in Week 4. Think of this as each player’s average expected fantasy points per game based on their underlying usage.

Teams coming off a Week 14 bye: Washington CommandersGreen Bay PackersIndianapolis ColtsNew Orleans SaintsAtlanta FalconsChicago Bears

No teams are on bye rest of the season.

Detailed player write-ups will be added through Wednesday night, and will appear below each set of positional rankings.

Top 32 Quarterbacks

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Jalen Hurts QB PHI CHI 28.75 22.8
2 Justin Herbert QB LAC TEN 25 18.4
3 Patrick Mahomes QB KC HOU 31.75 21
4 Josh Allen QB BUF MIA 24.75 22.8
5 Justin Fields QB CHI PHI 19.75 18.7
6 Dak Prescott QB DAL JAX 26 16
7 Joe Burrow QB CIN TB 23.75 20.1
8 Deshaun Watson QB CLE BAL 20.75 15.5
9 Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA BUF 17.25 15.8
10 Tyler Huntley QB BAL CLE 17.75 14.4
11 Geno Smith QB SEA SF 20 18
12 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX DAL 21.5 18.2
13 Kirk Cousins QB MIN IND 26.25 17.2
14 Matt Ryan QB IND MIN 22.25 14.7
15 Daniel Jones QB NYG WAS 17.75 16.8
16 Aaron Rodgers QB GB LA 23 14.7
17 Brock Purdy QB SF SEA 23.5 11.5
18 Jared Goff QB DET NYJ 21.5 15.2
19 Ryan Tannehill QB TEN LAC 22 14.4
20 Zach Wilson QB NYJ DET 22.5 12.7
21 Derek Carr QB LV NE 21.75 14.9
22 Tom Brady QB TB CIN 20.25 16
23 Taylor Heinicke QB WAS NYG 22.25 15.9
24 Mac Jones QB NE LV 22.75 12.5
25 Desmond Ridder QB ATL NO 19.5
26 Sam Darnold QB CAR PIT 20.5 14.8
27 Mitchell Trubisky QB PIT CAR 18 11.6
28 Andy Dalton QB NO ATL 24 15
29 Baker Mayfield QB LA GB 16 12.4
30 Colt McCoy QB ARI DEN 16.5 15.2
31 Davis Mills QB HOU KC 17.75 12.5
32 Brett Rypien QB DEN ARI 19.5 8.4
  • The only QBs to have a gone under 270 passing yards against the Titans are Matt Ryan, Daniel Jones, and Davis Mills. Expect 300 or more passing yards, and multiple TDs, from Justin Herbert. QBs ave averaging 22.1 fantasy points per game against Tennessee, which is second-most in the NFL, per The Edge. Herbert has his full complement of weapons for this matchup, too – Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Josh Palmer, and Gerald Everett.
  • Patrick Mahomes faces the Texans, but this isn’t quite as much of a dream matchup as some are expecting. The Texans actually allow the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing QBs (12.9), per The Edge. They are not a strong pass defense; rather, their horrendous run defense and lackadaisical offense combine to drive down QB scoring. The Chiefs are one of the few teams that should remain pass-heavy until the lead is at least four TDs, so I’m not downgrading Mahomes heavily – just enough that Justin Herbert usurps him for the QB2 chair this week.
  • Josh Allen has averaged 21.3 fantasy points and 230 passing yards over the past five games – since he hurt his elbow. He’s in a bad weather matchup against Miami, and his ceiling and floor are reduced in these game conditions. Don’t believe me? Vegas has this game pegged at a total of just 42 points, signaling bettors’ concerns with this game, as well.
  • No QB had reached 17.5 fantasy points against the Eagles, until Daniel Jones put up 19.4 against them in Week 14. Terrifying, right? Well, the Eagles faced a motley crew of QBs, none of which (aside from Kyler Murray and Daniel Jones), are even close to the caliber of dual threat as Justin Fields. Fields has at least 21 fantasy points in six straight, and that includes difficult matchups against Dallas, New England, and Green Bay. QB stats against the Eagles, per The Edge, are shown below.

eagles vs qbs

  • The Jaguars began the 2022 season as a strong defense, and have crumbled from Week 6 onward. Since Week 6, the Jaguars are allowing 285 passing yards and 23 fantasy points per game to opposing passers. Dak Prescott is in a smash spot, and this is actually a much better matchup than his Week 14 letdown against Houston.
  • Only one QB has more than 238 passing yards against the Buccaneers since Week 5; however, when diving deeper, they faced Pittsburgh, Carolina, Baltimore, the Rams, Seattle, Cleveland, New Orleans, and San Francisco in that stretch. Joe Burrow is only ranked at seven because of his WRs’ health, and my love for Dak Prescott’s matchup. Burrow has at least 16 fantasy points in all but one game this year, and has reached 28 fantasy points in two of his past four. There is a chance both Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are limited in this game, which lowers the ceiling for Burrow.
  • Baltimore’s pass defense is well above average, but Deshaun Watson showed me enough in Week 14 to act aggressively with him in Week 15. Watson has run at least six times in both games, and last week, he dropped back 46 times, completing 62% of his 42 pass attempts for 276 yards and a TD. We saw marked improvements from him as a passer over his past two games, despite his tough Week 14 matchup against the Bengals. I’m expecting another step forward from him against the Ravens. Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts are the only QBs right now that offer more as a passer and runner than Deshaun Watson.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has struggled in back-to-back games, as the Dolphins were unable to crack opponents’ press coverage, and the timing disruption for the WRs’ routes. He now faces an above average Bills defense in a game with bad weather. He’s still playable in Week 15, but temper expectations.
  • Geno Smith has at least 264 passing yards and 21 fantasy points in five straight games, but the cracks are beginning to show. He’s thrown picks in five of his past seven games, including four over his past three. And he’s been sacked at least three times in four straight. Playing a ferocious 49ers defense on Thursday night has me concerned, so his lowered weekly ranking reflects this.
  • Trevor Lawrence has a difficult matchup against Dallas on tap, but Lawrence has at least 20 fantasy points in three of his past four games, and 300 passing yards in two of his past three. The Jaguars offense has been hot-cold this year, but their pass attack is surging in recent weeks. Lawrence at QB12 indicates that teams with him should be open to streaming in Week 15, though he’s still a quality fantasy option in his own right.
  • Matt Ryan is a sneaky streamer this week, facing a Vikings defense that’s allowed at least 300 passing yards in seven of their past eight games.

  • Desmond Ridder makes his first NFL start against the Saints in Week 15. He was productive, but unspectacular during his 4-year career at Cincinnati, before getting taken by Atlanta in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft. He has great straight line quickness, though he doesn’t profile as a volume rusher at the NFL level. I’d think the light version of Daniel Jones, making his first start against one of the better defenses in the NFL. He should be avoided in fantasy outside of superflex leagues for Week 15.

Top 57 Running Backs

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Christian McCaffrey RB SF SEA 23.50 17.9
2 Derrick Henry RB TEN LAC 22.00 17.1
3 Austin Ekeler RB LAC TEN 25.00 20.7
4 Jonathan Taylor RB IND MIN 22.25 16.8
5 Josh Jacobs RB LV NE 21.75 18.5
6 Tony Pollard RB DAL JAX 26.00 12.3
7 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE LV 22.75 15.2
8 Miles Sanders RB PHI CHI 28.75 12.4
9 Alvin Kamara RB NO ATL 24.00 15.3
10 Dalvin Cook RB MIN IND 26.25 15.1
11 Joe Mixon RB CIN TB 23.75 17.7
12 David Montgomery RB CHI PHI 19.75 11.5
13 Aaron Jones RB GB LA 23.00 13.6
14 Travis Etienne RB JAX DAL 21.50 12.4
15 Kenneth Walker RB SEA SF 20.00 11.9
16 Nick Chubb RB CLE BAL 20.75 14.5
17 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL JAX 26.00 11.9
18 D’Andre Swift RB DET NYJ 21.50 11.8
19 James Conner RB ARI DEN 16.50 14.2
20 Isiah Pacheco RB KC HOU 31.75 6.6
21 J.K. Dobbins RB BAL CLE 17.75 9
22 Saquon Barkley RB NYG WAS 17.75 17.9
23 Zonovan Knight RB NYJ DET 22.50 13.7
24 Brian Robinson RB WAS NYG 22.25 11
25 Raheem Mostert RB MIA BUF 17.25 9.5
26 Rachaad White RB TB CIN 20.25 8.6
27 D’Onta Foreman RB CAR PIT 20.50 7.6
28 Leonard Fournette RB TB CIN 20.25 14.9
29 Antonio Gibson RB WAS NYG 22.25 12.2
30 Jerick McKinnon RB KC HOU 31.75 9.3
31 Devin Singletary RB BUF MIA 24.75 12.3
32 Najee Harris RB PIT CAR 18.00 12.9
33 Jamaal Williams RB DET NYJ 21.50 12.9
34 James Cook RB BUF MIA 24.75 5.3
35 Latavius Murray RB DEN ARI 19.50 10.4
36 Cam Akers RB LA GB 16.00 6.9
37 Gus Edwards RB BAL CLE 17.75 7.8
38 Dare Ogunbowale RB HOU KC 17.75 3.7
39 Cordarrelle Patterson RB ATL NO 19.50 10.2
40 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR PIT 20.50 4.3
41 Kevin Harris RB NE LV 22.75 2.7
42 Jordan Mason RB SF SEA 23.50 2.4
43 AJ Dillon RB GB LA 23.00 9.2
44 Samaje Perine RB CIN TB 23.75 8.9
45 Tyler Allgeier RB ATL NO 19.50 7.1
46 Michael Carter RB NYJ DET 22.50 10
47 Kareem Hunt RB CLE BAL 20.75 9
48 Rex Burkhead RB HOU KC 17.75 6.1
49 Marlon Mack RB DEN ARI 19.50 3.5
50 Darrynton Evans RB CHI PHI 19.75 2.6
51 Kenneth Gainwell RB PHI CHI 28.75 4.6
52 Salvon Ahmed RB MIA BUF 17.25 1.1
53 Jaylen Warren RB PIT CAR 18.00 4.4
54 Travis Homer RB SEA SF 20.00 3.8
55 Alexander Mattison RB MIN IND 26.25 4.3
56 Kyren Williams RB LA GB 16.00 5.1
57 Pierre Strong RB NE LV 22.75 2.4
  • Brock Purdy is a conservative passer (which benefits McCaffrey), and Deebo Samuel will miss this game (which also benefits McCaffrey). McCaffrey is in a smash spot against a Seattle defense which cannot contain RBs on the ground or through the air – they’ve allowed 29.4 fantasy points per game to the position, close second to the Texans (29.5), per The Edge.
  • Derrick Henry ran for 121 yards against the Jaguars last week, and should keep the momentum going against the Chargers this week. Los Angeles allows 5.5 yards per carry (YPC) to opposing RBs, most in the NFL, via The Edge. Their 25.9 fantasy points per game allowed overall ranks sixth-most in the league, too.
  • Jonathan Taylor faces a Vikings defense that’s fairly middle of the pack against RBs. However, their pass defense is maybe the league’s worst over the past two months. The Colts should be in scoring range often, so there’s massive TD upside for Taylor, who monopolizes the high value touches in this backfield.
  • Tony Pollard cannot be denied in the fantasy points department. He now has at least 21 fantasy points in five of his past six games, and the Cowboys’ offense should steamroll the Jaguars defense. With a team total of 26 points, expect a TD from Pollard, along with close to 100 total yards.
  • Miles Sanders smashes in easy matchups, and just put up 144 rushing yards on 17 carries against the Giants last week. He now faces a Bears team allowing 4.8 YPC and 26.5 fantasy points per game to RBs (fourth-most in the league, per The Edge). The Eagles score four TDs most weeks now, and Sanders should score and threaten 100 yards on the ground once again.
  • Joe Mixon had troublesome usage in his first game back, taking 14 of 19 RB carries, but running fewer routes than Samaje Perine (16-19). He was also out-targeted by Perine (2-5). Mixon will need to demonstrate he can handle some third-down work in Week 15 if he wants to be an every-week RB1 again. 14 carries (one red zone) and two targets is nothing more than low-end RB2 usage. I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt after missing multiple games with a concussion, but his diminished ranking this week is my acknowledgement of his disappointing Week 14 usage.
  • Travis Etienne has disappointed in fantasy the past three games, but he’s seeing almost all of the team’s RB touches. He most recently had 17 carries and ran 25 routes against the Titans. The lack of pass game usage is head-scratching, but I will continue to start the explosive bell cow in an emerging offense, hoping that the usage leads to fantasy points sooner rather than later.
  • Kenneth Walker is off the injury report, and will play against San Francisco on Thursday night. The 49ers allow the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing backs (15.8), but the Seahawks offense has put up points almost every week, and Walker gets all the high value RB touches. He is a strong bet to score, and his body is fresh, after just three touches the past two weeks due to his ankle injury.
  • Nick Chubb has back-to-back games under nine fantasy points, and now faces a Ravens team allowing only 3.7 YPC to RBs. The Ravens have allowed the seventh most receiving yards to RBs, but Chubb’s limited pass game role doesn’t allow him to take advantage of this. He is set up for another tough matchup, where he needs to score a TD for you to be happy with his fantasy output.
  • I don’t know what to make of the Lions’ backfield, as D’Andre Swift looked like he was fully back in Week 13, before receiving just six carries and four targets in Week 14. Swift still has the more valuable fantasy role than Williams, who not not caught a pass since Week 8. D’Andre Swift was off the injury report in Week 13, then back on in Week 14. He’s off the injury report again in Week 15, which gives me moderate optimism for another game of strong usage. Swift would be ranked as my RB8 for Week 15, just behind Miles Sanders, if I knew he’d get his Week 13 role. If his Week 14 role is on tap, he’d be outside my top-30 backs. Ranking him as a mid-range RB2 is my compromise.
  • The Chiefs RBs have a date with Houston, the team allowing the most fantasy points per game to RBs (29.5), via The Edge. McKinnon has six of eight red zone carries (and both goal line carries) over the past two weeks, and boasts the pass game upside. However, I still give a slight edge to Pacheco, as he has totaled at least 13 carries in five straight games, and the Texans allow 5.0 YPC to RBs.
  • JK Dobbins did not look fully healthy in Week 14, and still totaled 120 rushing yards on 15 carries. Two of three red zone carries (one of them was the lone goal carry) went to Dobbins last week, and he gets a Browns defense allowing 5.2 YPC to RBs, via The Edge. Football Outsiders loves the matchup too, with the Browns listed as their 30th best run defense according to DVOA.
  • Zonovan Knight handled 17 of 22 RB carries, despite Michael Carter’s return. Knight took the carries in the red zone, and still received some pass game work, along with Carter. 17 carries and two targets against a tough Bills front last week is encouraging, and while the Lions have played better as of late, this is still a defense we shouldn’t be too concerned about for RBs in fantasy football.
  • Brian Robinson has averaged 20 carries for 86 yard the past four games, and now gets a Giants defense allowing 5.3 YPC to RBs, second-most to only the Chargers. He is the preferred option, as Antonio Gibson’s superior pass down role may not translate against a defense that’s limited RBs to the fourth-fewest receiving yards per game, according to The Edge.
  • I believe Saquon Barkley was in a full-blown Week 14 committee with Matt Breida and Gary Brightwell due to neck soreness, but he also hasn’t looked healthy in multiple weeks. While he did put up 19.1 fantasy points against the Commanders in Week 13, he only averaged 3.5 YPC, and totaled just 18 yards on his five receptions. I worry about his fantasy output if he doesn’t find the end zone, as he should be highly inefficient once again. Outside of his 21-yard run in Week 13, he totaled just 42 yards on his other 17 carries (2.5 YPC).
  • Both Kevin Harris and Pierre Strong profile as every down backs based on their college usage. Kevin Harris was the more highly regarded prospect, while Strong had the elite 40-time. Harris was more heavily utilized than Strong when Rhamondre Stevenson went down in Week 14, and is my preferred option among the two – though their close ranking signals that I’m not particularly confident Harris out-touches Strong again. Should Damien Harris practice this week and appear on track to return in Week 15, I’ll adjust accordingly.
  • The Houston backfield is an absolute mess now that Dameon Pierce is OUT with a high ankle sprain. Over the past four games, Dare Ogunbowale has averaged 12 snaps per game to Rex Burkhead’s eight. Dare also has an edge in carries per game (1.8 to 0.7) and targets per game (2.0 to 1.0). I’m guessing we see Dare as the 1A to Burkhead’s 1B, but I’m not confident enough in my assessment to want to start either in Week 15 against the Chiefs. If you’re in the fantasy playoffs, you most likely have stronger options available to you.

Top 63 Wide Receivers

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Justin Jefferson WR MIN IND 26.25 18.9
2 Ja’Marr Chase WR CIN TB 23.75 18.1
3 Davante Adams WR LV NE 21.75 17.2
4 Stefon Diggs WR BUF MIA 24.75 17.7
5 A.J. Brown WR PHI CHI 28.75 13.5
6 Tyreek Hill WR MIA BUF 17.25 15.9
7 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET NYJ 21.50 15.8
8 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL JAX 26.00 14.7
9 Keenan Allen WR LAC TEN 25.00 13
10 Christian Watson WR GB LA 23.00 8.6
11 Mike Williams WR LAC TEN 25.00 12.6
12 DeAndre Hopkins WR ARI DEN 16.50 16.2
13 Terry McLaurin WR WAS NYG 22.25 12.5
14 Jaylen Waddle WR MIA BUF 17.25 12.3
15 Michael Pittman WR IND MIN 22.25 12.6
16 Chris Olave WR NO ATL 24.00 13.2
17 Tee Higgins WR CIN TB 23.75 10.4
18 Christian Kirk WR JAX DAL 21.50 14.1
19 DeVonta Smith WR PHI CHI 28.75 10.9
20 Tyler Lockett WR SEA SF 20.00 12.2
21 Chris Godwin WR TB CIN 20.25 14.4
22 Amari Cooper WR CLE BAL 20.75 14.2
23 DK Metcalf WR SEA SF 20.00 14.6
24 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ DET 22.50 13
25 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR KC HOU 31.75 10.6
26 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF SEA 23.50 11
27 Mike Evans WR TB CIN 20.25 13.6
28 Diontae Johnson WR PIT CAR 18.00 14.1
29 Jerry Jeudy WR DEN ARI 19.50 10.8
30 Donovan Peoples-Jones WR CLE BAL 20.75 10.9
31 Darius Slayton WR NYG WAS 17.75 7.7
32 Zay Jones WR JAX DAL 21.50 13.2
33 Allen Lazard WR GB LA 23.00 11.8
34 Jakobi Meyers WR NE LV 22.75 10.2
35 Adam Thielen WR MIN IND 26.25 12
36 Chris Moore WR HOU KC 17.75 7.1
37 D.J. Moore WR CAR PIT 20.50 12.1
38 Elijah Moore WR NYJ DET 22.50 7.7
39 Gabe Davis WR BUF MIA 24.75 10.8
40 Josh Palmer WR LAC TEN 25.00 11.5
41 Marquise Brown WR ARI DEN 16.50 15.1
42 Michael Gallup WR DAL JAX 26.00 9.7
43 Kadarius Toney WR KC HOU 31.75 4
44 Tyler Boyd WR CIN TB 23.75 8.3
45 DJ Chark WR DET NYJ 21.50 10
46 Robert Woods WR TEN LAC 22.00 8.6
47 Parris Campbell WR IND MIN 22.25 8.2
48 Van Jefferson WR LA GB 16.00 7.3
49 Jahan Dotson WR WAS NYG 22.25 8.3
50 Alec Pierce WR IND MIN 22.25 8.5
51 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR KC HOU 31.75 8.6
52 George Pickens WR PIT CAR 18.00 9.4
53 Jameson Williams WR DET NYJ 21.50 2.8
54 Drake London WR ATL NO 19.50 9.9
55 Hunter Renfrow WR LV NE 21.75 6.5
56 Romeo Doubs WR GB LA 23.00 9.2
57 Jarvis Landry WR NO ATL 24.00 8.1
58 Mack Hollins WR LV NE 21.75 10.5
59 Curtis Samuel WR WAS NYG 22.25 10.8
60 Equanimeous St. Brown WR CHI PHI 19.75 5
61 Nelson Agholor WR NE LV 22.75 6
62 Quez Watkins WR PHI CHI 28.75 4.6
63 Braxton Berrios WR NYJ DET 22.50 3.9
  • Christian Watson has at least six targets, 82 air yards, and 21 fantasy points in four straight games. He now faces a Rams defense that’s quietly allowed the 12th most yards to opposing wideouts this year. After several years of being stingy against the pass, the Rams have turned into a pass funnel defense that shuts down RB efficiency.
  • Mike Williams only ran 73% of the routes in Week 14 when returning from an ankle sprain. He still received six targets, catching all of them for 116 yards and a TD. He now gets the Titans, who allow 19.5 fantasy points to WRs lined up outside, most in the NFL, per The Edge.
  • Jaylen Waddle had at least 66 receiving yards in six straight games. Then, he tweaked his ankle during Miami’s Week 13 matchup against San Francisco. In Week 14, the Dolphins were embarrassed by the Chargers’ defense, and Tua threw for under 150 yards. I’m not overly concerned about a two game sample size, after Waddle averaged 88 yards and over 17 fantasy points per game through the first 12 weeks. The weather may be rough against Buffalo on Saturday, but you’re not sitting Waddle because of two games – one of which we know he was injured during.
  • Michael Pittman has been up-and-down for fantasy, but has consistently been the team’s WR1, with 8.9 targets per game. He now faces the Vikings, who allow 208 yards per game to WRs, by far the most in the NFL, via The Edge.
  • For much of the 2022 season, the Falcons allowed the most receiving yards per game to wideouts. The past four weeks, the Falcons are allowing a paltry 74 receiving yards per game to WRs. Don’t have too much fear though, as they’ve faced the Panthers, Bears, Commanders, and Steelers the past four games. I am not concerned about the Saints’ talented rookie.
  • Amari Cooper picked up a hip injury during last Thursday’s practice, then proceeded to be greatly out-produced by Donovan Peoples-Jones. Cooper should be fully healthy for Week 15, and Deshaun Watson’s improved performance last week bodes well for him moving forward. This is a consolidated target tree, so both Cooper, Peoples-Jones, and David Njoku are all great fantasy options against Baltimore in Week 15. Peoples-Jones is quietly on pace for 983 receiving yards overall, and has been on a torrid 1,158 yard pace since Week 4.
  • The switch from Mike White to Zach Wilson kills the fantasy value of the Jets WRs. Mike White had attempted 101 passes over the past two games. Zach Wilson has thrown 26 or fewer passes in five of seven games this season. The Jets simply don’t want Zach Wilson to be anything more than a game manager this year. Garrett Wilson has averaged just 5.4 targets, 3.7 receptions, and 45.6 receiving yards per game with Zach Wilson, while he’s had at least 52 receiving yards in starts from Joe Flacco/Mike White. Elijah Moore’s recent momentum with Mike White is halted, too. He ran 47 routes in Week 14, receiving a team-high ten targets. The Lions allow a league-high 24.9 fantasy points per game out of the slot, via The Edge. 78% of Elijah Moore’s snaps came in the slot last week, so I’m downgrading him slightly less than Garrett Wilson with the QB switch.
  • Mike Evans has been held to no more than 59 yards or 10.4 fantasy points over his past five games. The Buccaneers are scoring fewer points per game than every team not named the Rams in the NFC Conference. The TD upside is low, and my enthusiasm for Evans has waned as Chris Godwin’s role has been much more consistent the past two months.
  • Diontae Johnson receives a boost in the rankings, assuming Mitch Trubisky is under center for Week 15 – Kenny Pickett suffered a concussion in Week 14. Diontae’s averaged over ten targets in all four games where Trubisky took the vast majority of the snaps.
  • Kadarius Toney nearly suited up last week, and should return this week. He only played 44% of the snaps back in Week 10, but caught four of five targets for 57 yards and a TD, while rushing twice for 33 yards. He can hit 15 fantasy points against Houston on a minimal snap share, and should be started as a boom-bust upside play in Week 15.
  • Marquise Brown is in trouble with the switch to Colt McCoy. McCoy is a conservative passer, and Brown is significantly less exciting as the WR2 in an offense without Kyler Murray. The matchup against Denver is tough, too.
  • After Jameson Williams was targeted once on two routes in Week 13, his role really didn’t improve much in Week 14 despite scoring 11.1 fantasy points. He was targeted twice on six routes and caught one pass for a 41-yard touchdown. Williams is still at least one more week away from being a viable fantasy starter.

Top 22 Tight Ends

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Travis Kelce TE KC HOU 31.75 15.9
2 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN IND 26.25 11.5
3 Dalton Schultz TE DAL JAX 26.00 10
4 David Njoku TE CLE BAL 20.75 10.2
5 Mark Andrews TE BAL CLE 17.75 12.6
6 Greg Dulcich TE DEN ARI 19.50 8.1
7 Darren Waller TE LV NE 21.75 9.8
8 Gerald Everett TE LAC TEN 25.00 9.8
9 George Kittle TE SF SEA 23.50 9.2
10 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT CAR 18.00 10.7
11 Evan Engram TE JAX DAL 21.50 9
12 Cole Kmet TE CHI PHI 19.75 6.8
13 Chigoziem Okonkwo TE TEN LAC 22.00 4.5
14 Juwan Johnson TE NO ATL 24.00 7.5
15 Cade Otton TE TB CIN 20.25 6.7
16 Dawson Knox TE BUF MIA 24.75 6.8
17 Trey McBride TE ARI DEN 16.50 2.4
18 Hunter Henry TE NE LV 22.75 5.5
19 Daniel Bellinger TE NYG WAS 17.75 5
20 Logan Thomas TE WAS NYG 22.25 6.7
21 Tyler Conklin TE NYJ DET 22.50 8.1
22 Robert Tonyan TE GB LA 23.00 6.7
  • Dalton Schultz is once again a true fantasy difference-maker, now that he’s healthy. He has at least 13 fantasy points in four of his past six games, averaging 6.7 targets (1.8 red zone, 1.2 end zone), 4.5 receptions, 50 yards, 58 air yards and 12.5 fantasy points per game. The Jaguars defense should be entirely overwhelmed this weekend.
  • David Njoku had a 23% target share in Week 14, his first game back from injury. He caught seven passes for 59 yards and a TD, and three of his targets came in the red zone. He’ s an elite option moving forward.
  • Mark Andrews has been held to just 36 yards per game and 6.9 PPR points per game from Week 7 onward. Last week was  supposed to be a bounce back spot with Tyler Huntley under center, and Andrews floundered again. I’m giving him another shot this week, but I cannot rank him as the clear TE2 anymore after two months of disappointing performances.
  • Dallas Goedert likely returns from IR this week. He’s the TE3 behind Travis Kelce (19.8) and Mark Andrews (13.2) in fantasy points per game (12.6).
  • Greg Dulcich had another game with strong usage in Sutton’s absence in Week 14, as he was targeted eight times. He only came down with three catches for 42 yards, but his 85 air yards were encouraging. Dulcich remains one of the precious few tight ends capable of working down the field. He’s a mid-range TE1 given the target volume/depth and his natural speed. Oh, did I mention he faces the Cardinals, possibly the only team we can confidently target in fantasy with our TEs. They’ve given up 18.4 fantasy points per game, by far the most among all NFL teams, via The Edge. The screenshot from our tool below shows just how much separation the Cardinals have – in their struggles against TEs.

cardinals vs tes

  • Darren Waller probably comes back from IR in Week 15, and gets the Patriots, who allow the second-most TDs per game to TEs this year (behind only Arizona). Waller has disappointed all year, but the Raiders lack receiving play-makers after Davante Adams, and Waller is one of the few TEs capable of a 100-yard game, due to his track record of production and elite speed.
  • Evan Engram totaled five catches and 26 yards from Weeks 9-12. Then, he had seven targets and 14 PPR points in Week 13, before erupting for 11 catches, 162 yards, and two TDs in Week 14. Engram remains hard to trust against a scary Dallas defense, but we now know his upside in this offense. I’d expect six to 12 fantasy points in Week 15, but if you’re projected to lose your matchup by double digit points, rank him above Gerald Everett.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has been a revelation at the TE position, with three straight games of at least five targets. He caught a career-high six balls in Week 14, scoring a TD. The rookie ran a 4.52 40-time at the NFL Combine this year, best among all TEs this year. He’s an explosive playmaker, and the Titans should face negative game scripts against the Chargers in Week 15.

These Week 15 fantasy rankings will be updated throughout the week. Make sure to check this post each day throughout the week as the news hits.

WATCH: Week 15 Waiver Wire Show

 

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