Fantasy

10/2/22

24 min read

Josh Larky's Week 4 Fantasy Rankings

By Josh Larky

week 4 fantasy rankings

Below you’ll find my Week 4 fantasy rankings for PPR/Half-PPR leagues. Included are my Top-32 QB Rankings, Top-45 RB Rankings, Top-57 WR Rankings, and Top-25 TE Rankings.

For each player, you can view their ranking, matchup, and implied team total, according to Vegas. For example, the Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars have a Vegas game total of 48, with the Eagles favored by 6.5 points (27.25 points implied for the Eagles, 20.75 points implied for the Jaguars). Seeing the implied point totals can help you understand which games are projected to be the highest scoring.

xPPR (expected PPR points) is a new stat added to my Week 4 Fantasy Rankings. Think of this as each player's average expected fantasy points per game based on their underlying usage.

 

Top-32 Quarterbacks

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Josh Allen QB BUF BAL 27.5 25.8
2 Lamar Jackson QB BAL BUF 24 27.8
3 Jalen Hurts QB PHI JAX 27.25 26
4 Kyler Murray QB ARI CAR 21 20.2
5 Patrick Mahomes QB KC TB 23.5 20
6 Justin Herbert QB LAC HOU 24.5 17.8
7 Joe Burrow QB CIN MIA 25.25 19.9
8 Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA CIN 21.75 17.6
9 Tom Brady QB TB KC 21.5 14
10 Matthew Stafford QB LA SF 19.75 15.5
11 Kirk Cousins QB MIN NO 23.25 16.6
12 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX PHI 20.75 19.2
13 Russell Wilson QB DEN LV 21.5 13.6
14 Marcus Mariota QB ATL CLE 24 17.3
15 Aaron Rodgers QB GB NE 25.5 13.9
16 Derek Carr QB LV DEN 24 16.7
17 Carson Wentz QB WAS DAL 19.5 19.2
18 Jimmy Garoppolo QB SF LA 22.25 13.4
19 Geno Smith QB SEA DET 22.5 14.9
20 Mitchell Trubisky QB PIT NYJ 21.75 14
21 Baker Mayfield QB CAR ARI 23 13.1
22 Daniel Jones QB NYG CHI 21 15.2
23 Matt Ryan QB IND TEN 23 15.2
24 Ryan Tannehill QB TEN IND 19.5 14.4
25 Jared Goff QB DET SEA 27.5 16.8
26 Andy Dalton QB NO MIN 20.25 -
27 Justin Fields QB CHI NYG 18 11
28 Jacoby Brissett QB CLE ATL 25.5 16.5
29 Davis Mills QB HOU LAC 20 12.7
30 Zach Wilson QB NYJ PIT 18.75 -
31 Cooper Rush QB DAL WAS 23 9.7
32 Brian Hoyer QB NE GB 15 -
  • There is now a Big-3 at the quarterback position, as Lamar Jackson (34.8 fantasy points per game), Josh Allen (30.0), and Jalen Hurts (28.8) all have at least 5.4 more points per game than any other QB.
  • Kyler Murray has struggled early, but faces a Carolina Panthers team that is highly beatable. Carolina held Jacoby Brissett and Daniel Jones to under 200 passing yards each, before getting cooked in Week 3 by Jameis Winston to the tune of 353 yards. This is a must-win game for Arizona, and the Panthers also allowed Daniel Jones to run 10 times in Week 2. Murray could have a huge game on the ground and through the air. I have some concerns with Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert this week.
  • The Buccaneers are allowing nine points per game to opposing teams, despite facing three competent offenses in the Cowboys (3), Saints (10), and Packers (14). While I expect Patrick Mahomes to orchestrate multiple touchdown drives and score more than nine points, I am at least mildly concerned with this overall game environment; Vegas agrees, as this has a middling 45-point over/under. Mahomes has feasted against zone coverage this year (8.8 yards per attempt), and the Buccaneers rank sixth in the NFL in zone-coverage usage (Sports Info Solutions).
  • Justin Herbert will not have Keenan Allen once again, and now the Chargers face a Texans team allowing only 208 passing yards per game. Fortunately, the Texans racked up that nifty stat by playing Justin Fields last week. Matt Ryan put up 352 yards against them in Week 1, and Herbert is averaging over 300 passing yards per game this season. His ranking at six is more of a reflection on the state of the QB position, than on Herbert being set up for elite numbers in Week 4.
  • I have Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa ranked as if Tua will suit up for this Thursday night contest. The Bengals defense has yet to be tested by a competent QB (they've faced Mitch Trubisky, Cooper Rush, and Joe Flacco), and the Dolphins have allowed the eighth most yards per pass attempt among NFL defenses. This game has potential to shoot out, and while the Bengals offensive line has struggled, the Dolphins have the fourth lowest pressure rate in the entire NFL (stats courtesy of The Edge, our flagship tool). It's free, by the way.
  • Tom Brady has looked uncomfortable all season, but this is a get-right matchup against the Chiefs. Mahomes should be able to put up points against the Buccaneers, and Mike Evans returns from his 1-game suspension. A caveat: Brady's No. 9 overall ranking this week has more to do with a lack of solid QB options than the expectation that he puts up over 20 fantasy points. If you are concerned about floor only, I'd drop Brady below Trevor Lawrence in my rankings.
  • Trevor Lawrence and this Jaguars offense are the real deal. After the Chargers contained both Derek Carr and Patrick Mahomes, Lawrence lit them up for 262 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions. While the Eagles have a strong defense, I want to bet on a young Jacksonville offense that looks more comfortable with each passing week. The switch from Urban Meyer to Doug Pederson cannot be overstated.
  • Marcus Mariota has emerged as a high-floor fantasy option. He has at least six rush attempts and 15 fantasy points in each game. Despite a soft opening schedule for the Browns (Baker Mayfield, Trubisky, and Flacco), they're only a middle-of-the-road defense based on yards allowed and yards per play. This game opened with the third-highest Vegas game total on the slate (49.5), and Mariota is a nice QB streamer this week for those in need.
  • Jared Goff will be without Amon-Ra St. Brown, DJ Chark, and D'Andre Swift in this contest, and is no longer a streamable QB for Week 4.
  • Andy Dalton heads to London to take on a middling Vikings secondary. While he'll be without Michael Thomas, Chris Olave and Jarvis Landry should both be active for this game, along with Alvin Kamara. I expect a heavy dose of the pass game if the Saints want to win this one, so Dalton is ranked like he'll cross the 35 pass attempts threshold.
  • Zach Wilson is expected to make his return in Week 4. The Jets with Joe Flacco were averaging over 50 pass attempts per game, and that almost certainly declines precipitously this week. A young QB coming off a major knee injury is unlikely to be tasked with 50 or more drop backs, as they'll want to be careful with their franchise signal-caller. Wilson showed little promise as a rookie, but is being air-dropped into what has been a functional offense with strong skill talent surrounding him. The floor is dangerously low, but Wilson has a chance to take a solid leap forward this year.

Top-45 Running Backs

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Saquon Barkley RB NYG CHI 21.00 19.3
2 Jonathan Taylor RB IND TEN 23.00 18.5
3 Christian McCaffrey RB CAR ARI 23.00 15
4 Leonard Fournette RB TB KC 21.50 16.7
5 Nick Chubb RB CLE ATL 25.50 15.2
6 Joe Mixon RB CIN MIA 25.25 19.6
7 Dalvin Cook RB MIN NO 23.25 12.8
8 Austin Ekeler RB LAC HOU 24.50 14.7
9 Jamaal Williams RB DET SEA 27.50 13.6
10 Khalil Herbert RB CHI NYG 18.00 11.5
11 Derrick Henry RB TEN IND 19.50 12.5
12 James Robinson RB JAX PHI 20.75 18.3
13 James Conner RB ARI CAR 21.00 14.8
14 Najee Harris RB PIT NYJ 21.75 14
15 Antonio Gibson RB WAS DAL 19.50 15.8
16 Aaron Jones RB GB NE 25.50 12.2
17 Cordarrelle Patterson RB ATL CLE 24.00 13.4
18 Miles Sanders RB PHI JAX 27.25 12.2
19 Kareem Hunt RB CLE ATL 25.50 13.4
20 Jeff Wilson RB SF LA 22.25 11.1
21 Josh Jacobs RB LV DEN 24.00 11.9
22 Javonte Williams RB DEN LV 21.50 17.1
23 Breece Hall RB NYJ PIT 18.75 14
24 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE GB 15.00 10.2
25 Dameon Pierce RB HOU LAC 20.00 12.8
26 AJ Dillon RB GB NE 25.50 12.9
27 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB KC TB 23.50 10.6
28 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL WAS 23.00 9.4
29 Cam Akers RB LA SF 19.75 8
30 Devin Singletary RB BUF BAL 27.50 13.5
31 Tony Pollard RB DAL WAS 23.00 9.6
32 Melvin Gordon RB DEN LV 21.50 12
33 Damien Harris RB NE GB 15.00 12.9
34 J.K. Dobbins RB BAL BUF 24.00 7.4
35 Travis Etienne RB JAX PHI 20.75 11
36 Darrell Henderson RB LA SF 19.75 7
37 Michael Carter RB NYJ PIT 18.75 11.8
38 Chase Edmonds RB MIA CIN 21.75 8.4
39 Raheem Mostert RB MIA CIN 21.75 5.7
40 Rashaad Penny RB SEA DET 22.50 7.8
41 Jerick McKinnon RB KC TB 23.50 6.9
42 Nyheim Hines RB IND TEN 23.00 8.6
43 J.D. McKissic RB WAS DAL 19.50 9.4
44 Craig Reynolds RB DET SEA 27.50 3.3
45 Kenneth Walker RB SEA DET 22.50 6.5
  • Saquon Barkley is playing the best football of his life. The Bears have allowed the sixth most rushing yards through three games at a hefty 4.9 yards per carry for RBs. On Monday night against Dallas, Saquon handled 14 of 15 RB touches and ran 37 of 40 RB routes, catching four passes for 45 yards. He has the best role among RBs in all of fantasy football, and there is no game script that won't benefit him in this matchup against Chicago.
  • Leonard Fournette handled 100% of the RB workload in Week 3, after shouldering 24 of 26 RB carries the week prior. He also is averaging four targets per game. Despite six red zone opportunities (two at the goal line), he has no TDs through three weeks. That will change soon with his usage, and even if the Buccaneers go down early to the Chiefs, Fournette's pass-catching role should bail out fantasy managers. Trailing against Green Bay in Week 3, Fournette racked up six targets, catching five for 35 yards.
  • I struggle to rank Nick Chubb any higher than RB5, even though he is the current RB2. He handled only two of the seven RB red zone carries in Week 3, and only one of the three goal line carries. Kareem Hunt saw the lone red zone target in Week 3. Chubb is the best pure runner in the NFL, and the Browns should be able to run the football all game. Chubb will get you 20 carries, but he is dependent on finding the end zone to truly help you win your fantasy matchup. Kareem Hunt's aggressive ranking this week reflects how the red zone offense flows through both back in Cleveland. Despite being the "backup," Hunt now has 11 red zone carries on the season, and is averaging three receptions per game.
  • Joe Mixon was banged up in Week 3, but should be good to go in Week 4 against Miami on Thursday Night Football. Potentially a function of the Bengals' offensive line woes, Mixon has been targeted frequently despite Samaje Perine playing on third downs. Mixon is second among RBs with 20 targets through three games, and has five goal line rush attempts on the season. His first TD will come shortly, and the underlying usage is strong. Concerns over his Week 3 injury and the quick turnaround to Thursday night are keeping Mixon in the mid-range RB1 conversation this week.
  • Dalvin Cook was a full practice participant on Thursday, alleviating any concern that he may miss time due to the shoulder injury. The Saints have played well against RBs through three games, but Cook's volume should more than offset that concern.
  • Austin Ekeler has been crowded out by Sony Michel and Josh Kelley when the Chargers run the ball near the end zone. His fantasy value comes through his involvement through the air, as he leads all RBs with 21 targets on the season. Houston has struggled mightily against RBs this year, but that's not really Ekeler's game. Some are calling this a smash spot due to Houston's poor run defense, but Ekeler's usage doesn't match this type of game environment all that well.
  • Jamaal Williams already leads the NFL with four rushing TDs, and saw 20 carries in Week 3. With D'Andre Swift now on the mend, Williams should also take on some of Swift's 22 routes and four targets from Week 3. Williams is a volume play, who is an adequate enough receiver to beat Seattle in all areas of the field and in all game scripts.
  • Khalil Herbert just ran for 157 yards and two TDs in Week 3 despite David Montgomery starting - and then promptly getting injured - in that contest. Herbert is solid in all facets, and the run-heavy Bears offense should get Herbert about 20 touches, most on the ground. The Giants are allowing 5.6 yards per carry against RBs, and Herbert should feast on the ground in this matchup. His overall ranking is slightly suppressed due to a lackluster Bears offense and little target upside due to the conservative nature of the Chicago pass attack.
  • Derrick Henry finally had a strong fantasy performance in Week 3, totaling 20-85-1 on the ground to go along with a surprising five catches for 58 yards on six targets. Unfortunately, Henry does not get a second date with the Raiders' run defense; instead, he faces the Colts, who are allowing 2.5 yards per carry to RBs, lowest in the NFL.
  • James Robinson continues to rise in the rankings, he is simply undeniable. Fully healthy after the achilles rupture, Robinson was fed 17 carries in Week 3 after 23 in Week 2. He is also running a similar number of routes to Travis Etienne per game. The matchup with the Eagles is difficult, but this Jaguars offense is well-rounded and hard to stop. Etienne is once again ranked aggressively, as his breakaway speed has led to several near-misses with TDs. Etienne may also be more heavily utilized in this contest, as the Jaguars are expected to trail the Eagles in this one.
  • Najee Harris' tumble down my rankings has no end in sight. In Week 3, he ceded two of five red zone carries to backup Jaylen Warren. Without elite volume, Najee Harris is becoming a glorified grinder back on a stinky offense, and has limited upside each week.
  • For the second week in a row, Miles Sanders out-touched all other PHI RBs by a wide margin on the ground, while also running the most routes on the team. Averaging 15 carries and two targets per game on an elite offense puts Miles Sanders firmly in RB2 territory each week.
  • Breece Hall is ready to explode, if Zach Wilson can be at least semi-competent in his return in Week 4. Hall is second among RBs with 20 targets through three weeks, and out-snapped Michael Carter for the first time in Week 3. It is only a matter of time before Hall is significantly out-touching Carter each week, and his elite speed makes him a threat to score on any play.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson would be ranked significantly higher after his Week 3 performance, but the Mac Jones high ankle sprain means the uninspiring Brian Hoyer will be under center in Week 4. The Patriots' 15 point team total is the lowest of the week as a result.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been out-snapped by Jerick McKinnon in all three games, and has gotten by on elite receiving efficiency and touchdowns. The Buccaneers run defense should cause problems for CEH on the ground, and I don't want to continue to bank on a 100% catch rate, while also converting 20% of his targets into touchdowns.
  • Cam Akers was tasked with 12 of 16 RB carries in Week 3, and received all three red zone carries in that contest. Darrell Henderson was the pass-catching back, and Akers did fumble at the end of Week 3, but all indications are that he will keep the starting role. The Rams offense is multiple notches below last year's version, but there is still value in dominating the carries on an above average offense.
  • Devin Singletary is clearly the Bills coaching staff's favorite RB, by a wide margin. In a close game against Miami, Singletary dominated the snaps, and was targeted 11 times in that matchup. The Ravens game in Week 4 should be another back-and-forth, competitive affair, and I expect his usage to fall somewhere between Weeks 1-2 and Week 3. My estimate would be eight carries and five targets, which carries fantasy value in the elite Buffalo offense.
  • In his second game back, JK Dobbins meets a Bills team allowing 2.7 yards per carry, second lowest in the NFL. Dobbins will be a strong candidate to find the end zone each week due to the Ravens offense, but this is not the game environment to expect much.
  • While the Detroit Lions matchup is tasty on paper (they've allowed six rushing TDs to back through three games, most in the NFL), the Seahawks three-pronged attack makes it tough to find the fantasy points. Rashaad Penny primarily handles early down work, though rookie Kenneth Walker mixes in. On third downs, it's either Travis Homer or DeeJay Dallas. I don't see a clear path to any of these RBs topping 15 fantasy points, and won't be starting Penny or Walker on any fantasy rosters this week.

Top-57 Wide Receivers

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Stefon Diggs WR BUF BAL 27.50 23
2 Cooper Kupp WR LA SF 19.75 20.1
3 Justin Jefferson WR MIN NO 23.25 17.3
4 Davante Adams WR LV DEN 24.00 20.6
5 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN MIA 25.25 21
6 Tyreek Hill WR MIA CIN 21.75 12.9
7 A.J. Brown WR PHI JAX 27.25 16.5
8 Jaylen Waddle WR MIA CIN 21.75 16.6
9 Marquise Brown WR ARI CAR 21.00 16.1
10 Courtland Sutton WR DEN LV 21.50 16.7
11 Michael Pittman WR IND TEN 23.00 16.6
12 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL WAS 23.00 16.8
13 Tee Higgins WR CIN MIA 25.25 11.7
14 Mike Williams WR LAC HOU 24.50 11.9
15 Christian Kirk WR JAX PHI 20.75 14.9
16 Diontae Johnson WR PIT NYJ 21.75 14.8
17 Mike Evans WR TB KC 21.50 10.2
18 Amari Cooper WR CLE ATL 25.50 14.6
19 Chris Olave WR NO MIN 20.25 14.7
20 DK Metcalf WR SEA DET 22.50 13.1
21 Deebo Samuel WR SF LA 22.25 14.1
22 Drake London WR ATL CLE 24.00 14.5
23 DeVonta Smith WR PHI JAX 27.25 16.1
24 Brandin Cooks WR HOU LAC 20.00 14.3
25 Elijah Moore WR NYJ PIT 18.75 12.2
26 Curtis Samuel WR WAS DAL 19.50 16.3
27 Juju Smith-Schuster WR KC TB 23.50 9.7
28 Romeo Doubs WR GB NE 25.50 9.3
29 Gabe Davis WR BUF BAL 27.50 9.7
30 D.J. Moore WR CAR ARI 23.00 10.7
31 Jerry Jeudy WR DEN LV 21.50 9.6
32 Josh Palmer WR LAC HOU 24.50 11.1
33 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ PIT 18.75 19.2
34 Terry McLaurin WR WAS DAL 19.50 12.5
35 Tyler Lockett WR SEA DET 22.50 11.4
36 Adam Thielen WR MIN NO 23.25 12.1
37 DeVante Parker WR NE GB 15.00 12.8
38 Rashod Bateman WR BAL BUF 24.00 9.6
39 Josh Reynolds WR DET SEA 27.50 10
40 Allen Robinson WR LA SF 19.75 9
41 Russell Gage WR TB KC 21.50 10.7
42 Treylon Burks WR TEN IND 19.50 8.2
43 Jarvis Landry WR NO MIN 20.25 10.4
44 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF LA 22.25 10.2
45 Tyler Boyd WR CIN MIA 25.25 8.3
46 Allen Lazard WR GB NE 25.50 10.4
47 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR KC TB 23.50 9.6
48 Julio Jones WR TB KC 21.50 10.3
49 Mack Hollins WR LV DEN 24.00 13.6
50 Robbie Anderson WR CAR ARI 23.00 8.9
51 Richie James WR NYG CHI 21.00 9.1
52 Jahan Dotson WR WAS DAL 19.50 12
53 Marvin Jones WR JAX PHI 20.75 10.3
54 Corey Davis WR NYJ PIT 18.75 12.3
55 Darnell Mooney WR CHI NYG 18.00 6.7
56 Alec Pierce WR IND TEN 23.00 8.8
57 Rondale Moore WR ARI CAR 21.00 -
  • Stefon Diggs is the current fantasy WR1, and now faces a Baltimore Ravens secondary that has allowed nearly 200 more yards to WRs (842, compared to 667 for the second place Rams) than any other team. Diggs is the no brainer WR1 for Week 4.
  • Ja'Marr Chase is in for a huge game. Jordan Vanek, our Head of DFS, breaks down coverage schemes and Dolphins blitzing tendencies to help explain why.
  • Marquise Brown quietly has the fourth most targets in the NFL. He has back-to-back games with at least 11 targets, and most recently caught 14 of 17 targets for 140 yards in Week 3. Carolina has some talent in the secondary, but the volume and growing connection with Kyler Murray are undeniable.
  • The Washington Commanders have given up the third most receiving yards to opposing wideouts, and have also allowed the third highest passing yards per attempt to opposing QBs. CeeDee Lamb has an outrageous 37% target share on the season, and should be the focal point once again of a surprisingly competent Dallas passing attack led by Cooper Rush. Lamb has at least 75 receiving yards in both Cooper Rush starts.
  • Mike Williams will once again be pressed into a high-volume role with Keenan Allen OUT in Week 4. He's averaging eight targets per game this year without Allen, and has 109 or more air yards in both contests. Josh Palmer is also ranked aggressively, and for good reason. The past two weeks without Allen, Palmer has at least eight targets in both affairs. One game, he had two end zone targets, the other game featured a 99 yard performance. Expect a big game from Palmer against Houston.
  • Diontae Johnson has double digit targets in all three games this year - only CeeDee Lamb has accomplished the same feat. Diontae has suffered heavily from Trubisky's erratic play, and has only one combined red zone/end zone target on the season because of all the Steelers' stalled offensive drives.
  • Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry are both unlikely to play in Week 4. Chris Olave is ranked aggressively, as he should see a target vacuum in Week 4, and was already coming off back-to-back games with 13 targets and at least 164 air yards in each contest.
  • The Detroit Lions play the most man coverage in the entire NFL. DK Metcalf has done well against man coverage, historically, utilizing his massive frame. While Lions cornerback Jeff Okudah has played lock-down coverage this year - and most recently shut down Justin Jefferson in Week 3 - Metcalf's size and physicality makes this a mismatch that tilts in Seattle's favor.
  • The 49ers offense is not functional, and they just lost star tackle Trent Williams to a high ankle sprain. I have downgraded Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk as a result, since fewer downfield passes are likely to be completed, and more sacks will likely be taken by Jimmy Garoppolo. Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk were already both outside the Top-36 WRs in fantasy points per game, and I worry about the floors/ceilings of both Deebo/Aiyuk against the Rams.
  • Elijah Moore and Garrett Wilson were downgraded when Zach Wilson was announced as the likely Week 4 starter. The Jets have allowed Joe Flacco to drop back roughly 55 times per game, an NFL-record through three games. With Wilson returning from a serious knee injury, I doubt they continue their pass-happy ways until he gets more comfortable. Expect more emphasis on the running game, and a drop in target volume for both Moore and Wilson.
  • Romeo Doubs broke out in Week 3, catching all eight of his targets for 73 yards and a TD. Allen Lazard has yet to reach eight catches in a NFL game, as Doubs flashed target-earning potential that has been sorely lacking in Green Bay this season. He's ranked aggressively because this team needs a receiver to step up. Doubs also led this team in targets in Week 1.
  • Josh Reynolds should be peppered with targets against a porous Seahawks secondary, as D'Andre Swift, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and DJ Chark have all been ruled out of this contest.
  • While warning bells are blaring, Allen Robinson can still be flexed, and should not be dropped in fantasy. While he was disappointing in Week 3 - only 23 yards on five targets - because the Rams threw so little that game, Robinson actually had a 20% target share in the contest, his highest of the 2022 season.
  • Treylon Burks is coming off his worst performance of the season, totaling only 13 receiving yards in Week 3, after at least 47 in both games prior. However, his route participation has ticked up each week, going from 38% to 77% to 96%. He is now a full-time player on a team that has been relying on 30-year-old Robert Woods, who is coming off an ACL tear and no longer looks like a Pro Bowl-caliber wideout.
  • With Zay Jones now ruled OUT due to injury, Marvin Jones becomes a desperation flex play. The weather looks rough (windy and rainy), but Marvin is just good enough of a WR to likely see a target increase with Zay's absence.
  • After a Week 1 concussion, Alec Pierce returned in Week 3, and commanded five targets (on only 20 routes), catching three for 61 yards. He is a big play threat and the second round rookie is a player to monitor moving forward. If his routes increase in Week 4, he likely will have flex value down the line. It is clear that Parris Campbell is not a starting-caliber WR, after only eight targets and 47 total yards through three games.

Top-25 Tight Ends

Rank Name Pos Team Opp Team Total xPPR
1 Travis Kelce TE KC TB 23.50 15.2
2 Mark Andrews TE BAL BUF 24.00 18.5
3 Darren Waller TE LV DEN 24.00 13.2
4 Kyle Pitts TE ATL CLE 24.00 10.5
5 Zach Ertz TE ARI CAR 21.00 13.9
6 George Kittle TE SF LA 22.25 8.3
7 T.J. Hockenson TE DET SEA 27.50 9.6
8 Dallas Goedert TE PHI JAX 27.25 6.9
9 Dalton Schultz TE DAL WAS 23.00 8.7
10 Gerald Everett TE LAC HOU 24.50 10.1
11 Tyler Conklin TE NYJ PIT 18.75 10.4
12 Tyler Higbee TE LA SF 19.75 11.3
13 David Njoku TE CLE ATL 25.50 9.5
14 Irv Smith TE MIN NO 23.25 11.4
15 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT NYJ 21.75 11.2
16 Logan Thomas TE WAS DAL 19.50 8.4
17 Dawson Knox TE BUF BAL 27.50 5.3
18 Evan Engram TE JAX PHI 20.75 7.7
19 Robert Tonyan TE GB NE 25.50 7.2
20 Juwan Johnson TE NO MIN 20.25 10.8
21 Hayden Hurst TE CIN MIA 25.25 8.6
22 Albert Okwuegbunam TE DEN LV 21.50 5.8
23 Cole Kmet TE CHI NYG 18.00 6.2
24 Daniel Bellinger TE NYG CHI 21.00 4.5
25 Mike Gesicki TE MIA CIN 21.75 4.4
  • I still have Travis Kelce ahead of Mark Andrews, even though Andrews is the current TE1. Lamar Jackson is playing out of his mind, but Patrick Mahomes has a far better track record. Also, JK Dobbins is only getting healthier, and I still have some concerns about overall pass volume when he's back and fully healthy - he played about half the snaps in Week 3, so I wouldn't be surprised if he is a full-go in Week 4. I do not have a strong take, this is just a lean. So if you want to rank Andrews ahead of Kelce I will push back minimally.
  • Zach Ertz now has back-to-back games of double digit targets and appears fully recovered from his preseason injury. He is the clear No. 2 pass game option behind Marquise Brown, and is closer to Darren Waller and Kyle Pitts than to George Kittle directly below him.
  • TJ Hockenson has been largely disappointing through three games, failing to reach 40 yards in any contest. However, Amon-Ra St. Brown, D'Andre Swift, and DJ Chark have all been ruled OUT in Week 4. Jared Goff will try to connect with Josh Reynolds in the intermediate/deep areas of the field, but TJ Hockenson is now the only proven weapon close to the line of scrimmage on passing downs. Expect a healthy amount of targets in Week 4 against Seattle.
  • Dalton Schultz is expected to return from his PCL injury in Week 4, but he may be slightly limited. I am wary of an already limited TE, athletically, who now has a lingering knee injury, so I'd lean towards Hockenson and Dallas Goedert in Week 4 instead.
  • Tyler Conklin is the overall TE3, with at least seven targets in every game. However, like with the NYJ WRs, a switch to Zach Wilson downgrades the pass-catchers due to expected volume, and Conklin will struggle to command seven targets in Week 4 unless his target share greatly increases.
  • David Njoku now has back-to-back games with at least two red zone targets. After reeling in three of five targets for 32 yards in Week 2, Njoku had a monster game, hauling in nine of ten targets for 89 yards and a score. The Falcons (his Week 4 opponent) have allowed the fourth most yards to TEs through three games, despite facing the Saints, Rams, and Seahawks, none of whom have an elite TE.
  • Irv Smith now has back-to-back games with at least six targets, and one of those was a red zone target in each game, too.
  • Pat Freiermuth and Logan Thomas are both high floor, low ceiling options for Week 4.
  • Robert Tonyan led the team in targets in Week 1, then had seven targets in Week 3. The Green Bay passing game is wide open, and while Tonyan has never been a high target share guy previously, I would only expect Romeo Doubs to out-target him each week. He is an interesting upside stash.
  • Juwan Johnson has an outside chance to the No. 2 pass game option behind Chris Olave in Week 4, and would be an uninspiring streamer candidate if both Thomas/Landry cannot go due to injury.

These Week 4 fantasy rankings will be updated throughout the week. Make sure to check this post each day this week as the news hits.

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Josh Larky

Josh Larky is the Director of Fantasy and Gambling at The 33rd Team.  He joins us with a unique blend of educational and professional experience.

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