Fantasy

11/19/22

9 min read

Week 11 DFS Tournament Games Main Slate

If you are new to DFS, check out our introductory pieces, such as DFS 101, Contest Selection, Stacking, Rostership, Leverage, and Lineup Construction.

Below we will take a look at some of the double stacks, single stacks, and mini stacks I will be looking to take advantage of this weekend. If you have any questions, ask them on our 33rd Team Discord.

We also have Rostership Data for FREE, which can be found here!

Double Stacks

Stack: QB Daniel Jones, WR Darius Slayton, and WR Wan’Dale Robinson
Runback: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

First, the Giants-Lions game has a lot to love, and I will get to plenty of this game because of the cheap options. Jones has not had a lot of volume as a passer in recent weeks, but the matchup against the Detroit Lions bodes well for their passing attack.

Moreover, the Lions played a heavy box on over 20 snaps in the last two games. The Lions QB pressure is one of the lowest rates in football. Jones will have time to throw and one on one matchups on the outside. Jeff Okudah is who should be avoided, but every other spot will have the ability to make the big play. Meanwhile, seven players have over 70 yards receiving from the slot position against the Lions and that is where Robinson runs over 90% of his routes. In addition, the Lions also struggle with players running the deep routes (Crossers, Posts, Corners, Verticals) and Slayton has 13 of his 28 targets on these routes.

I’m avoiding the RB by a Detroit committee and sticking with the player that dominates targets in St. Brown. Against the Giants' primary coverages, St. Brown has a 35% target share, averages 3.3 yards per route run and gets targeted on 40.8% per route run.

Single Stacks

Stack: QB Justin Fields and WR Darnell Mooney
Runback: TE Kyle Pitts

Justin Fields has back-to-back weeks over 40 DK points, and this isn’t a matchup to expect him to slow down at all. Fields gets most of his production as a runner, but when he throws, he pushes the ball down the field. Accordingly, Fields is among the NFL's highest air yards per attempt, and the Falcons have allowed plenty of deep passes to be completed.

Mooney has over a 30% target share against man coverage, and the Falcons utilize man at a high rate. Over 55% of Mooney’s route tree are deep routes, and he has the mismatch on any Atlanta corner if A.J. Terrell is out. Fields is difficult to double stack because of the low passing volume, and I am not too confident in a game with two teams that love running the ball. Cole Kmet is another appealing option for a scarce position, but I believe in Mooney’s ceiling, and the Falcons have only allowed one receiving touchdown to tight ends this season.

Pitts has disappointed the world this year, and it hasn’t been his fault. The Bears have not been tested by any tight ends this season. The Bears have also struggled with the slot; they give up over 10 yards per attempt to teams that target the slot, and Pitts has 47% of his targets from the slot area. Olamide Zaccheaus is another player of note for Atlanta and has every target he’s had this season come from the slot.

Mini-Stacks

CLE @ BUF (In DET)
- RB Nick Chubb and WR Gabe Davis

The Bills are giving up 6.3 yards per carry since Week 7, and Chubb is averaging 5.7 yards per carry on the season. This game is now in a dome, and we know that Cleveland will need to control the clock and run the ball against the Bills. I believe we see Chubb getting at least 20 carries in this matchup, and he is a pivot off of the other top running backs.

The Browns are one of three teams giving up over a 60% completion percentage on these routes: Posts, Corners, Crossers, and Verticals. Davis has 58.3% of his receptions, and 76.5% of his yardage comes from these specific routes. Pricing factors heavily into why I am not getting to Stefon Diggs and why Allen did not make my final quarterback pool.

DAL @ MIN
- WR CeeDee Lamb and RB Dalvin Cook

The Vikings are giving up over eight yards per attempt to the slot, and with Gallup back, we have seen Lamb move to the slot. The Vikings have attempted to keep everything in front of them by playing a lot of Cover 4. Lamb, against Cover 4, gets targeted on 33.1% of his routes. This game features one of the highest point totals on the slate, and Lamb will be a big reason why.

The Cowboys have had issues defending the run the past two games, and many have asked for Parsons to return to linebacker. This isn’t the week I expect that to happen with the impact he makes pressuring Kirk Cousins, and as a result, Cook will be in a great spot to make plays. Cook has had five or more targets in three straight games and continues to get most of the carries. Last week, his production was mainly off of one carry, but that is who Dalvin Cook has been for most of his career.

NYJ @ NE
- WR Garrett Wilson and RB Rhamondre Stevenson

Wilson is the clear-cut number 1 wide receiver for the Jets, and the $4,900 price tag on DraftKings is way too cheap. Wilson had over 100 yards receiving in the first matchup, and I believe the Patriots' defensive game plan will focus on getting Zach Wilson to throw the ball. They do not want to deal with the Jets' running game.

Stevenson has had seven targets in three straight games and still gets plenty of carries. With how the Jets' secondary defends, I believe Stevenson will see another high-target game, which will keep him as a great target for DFS. The Jets have had a much better run defense this season,

One-Offs

RB Jonathan Taylor

Jeff Saturday challenged the offensive line to start making plays this past weekend, and their team responded by freeing up Taylor to get over 140 yards rushing. I expect the Colts to feature Taylor as much as possible, especially against an Eagles front that struggles against the run. The Eagles have allowed over 140 yards rushing in three straight games, and this is against some of the league’s bottom-tier run-blocking units. This matchup is excellent for Taylor to perform at a high level.

RB Antonio Gibson or RB Brian Robinson Jr.

The Houston Texans cannot defend the run, and both running backs will get carries. Robinson has handled 61% of the carries without McKissic, but from watching the games, Gibson is the more explosive running back. Robinson will be a nonfactor in the passing game, and if the Commanders get into a negative game script, we will see more of Gibson.

WR Tee Higgins

Higgins is one of the most intriguing players on the entire slate because the Steelers’ coverage will dictate so much of this game. The Steelers have been aggressive against Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen, and their WRs performed at such a high level. If the Steelers play Cover 1 at the rate they have been, Higgins will be in for a huge game. But if they stick to rushing four and playing Cover 2/4, then Higgins will struggle.