Analysis
12/24/21
2 min read
Big Play Index Predicts Colts to Gash Arizona On the Ground
The 33rd Team introduced the Big Play Index last season to show how NFL teams stack up in terms of big plays produced and big plays allowed.
The Big Play Index has a new and improved outlook with the help of Marc Trestman. When Trestman coached in the NFL, his definition of a “Big Play” was a run of 10-plus yards and/or a pass of 16-plus yards. Ultimately, BPI correlates the ability to create explosive plays, while also limiting the opponent, and the success of the team (based on wins).
BPI Mismatch of the week
Chiefs vs Steelers
The Steelers offense has truly struggled to get the ball down the field and create big plays. They rank with the 5th least big plays for while struggling to gain explosives on the ground more than through the air. Shockingly, their defense has been very poor in this regard as well as they rank 4th to last in big plays allowed in front of only the Texans, Lions and Jets. Their struggles have really shown on the ground allowing the second most big plays in the running game. For the Chiefs, their offense has got back on track and are now a top 15 offense in big plays for, with the majority, unsurprisingly coming through the air. The Chiefs explosive nature against the Steelers inability to stop big plays could lead to a lopsided victory for KC.
Extra Hits:
Colts over Cardinals
Could the Cardinals fall into a 3 game losing streak? It's unlikely for one of the NFL's best teams but the Colts have been playing their best football as of late. The Colts might be able to expose them on the ground. The Cardinals have allowed the 4th most big plays on the ground while the Colts are the No. 2 team in causing them. The Colts defense is extremely stout, so despite being electric through the air, they could be stifled.
