Analysis
11/12/22
3 min read
Week 10 Underdog Fantasy Higher/Lower Picks
Below, you’ll find 5 Underdog Fantasy High/Low Picks to put your hard-earned money on.
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Mike Gesicki higher than 25.5 Yards
- Gesicki has found his place in the Miami offense, going over this total in 5 of the last 6 games.
- Gesicki has the 3rd highest team target share over that timeframe and is averaging just about 3 receptions and 33 receiving yards per game
- The Browns allow the 2nd most yards per reception to opposing TEs (14.1 yards), making way for Gesicki to potentially hit this total on 2 receptions, if not the 3 he’s averaging.
Jacoby Brissett higher than 228.5 Passing Yards
- Brissett has hit this number in 6 of 8 games this season and is averaging 253 yards per game since week 4.
- Opposing QBs have gone over this number in 5 of 8 against Miami. They averaged 256 yards per game.
- Opposing QBs Mac Jones, Justin Fields and Zach Wilson bring this number down.
- Miami has the 2nd-worst Pass DVOA according to football outsiders, but Miami is solid against the run, allowing the 4th fewest rushing yards and 2nd fewest YPC. The Browns will need to pass to move the ball.
Taylor Heinicke lower than 235.5 total yards
- Only two QBs have had more than this vs. the Eagles all year; Kyler Murray and Kirk Cousins.
- Heinicke has had more than this just once this season and is averaging 226 total yards per game.
- The Eagles are allowing the 2nd-fewest passing yards to opposing QBs, and Heinicke hasn’t been able to muster up much on the ground.
Graham Gano higher than 1.5 Field Goals made
- Gano is averaging 2.1 field goals made per game and has gone over this number in 6 of 8
- The Texans defense isn’t good, so the Giants should be able to move the ball, but they’re the 6th-worst TD scoring team in the red zone.
- Only the Broncos, Steelers, Texans, Colts, and Rams have scored fewer red zone TDs.
Jeff Wilson higher than 8.5 Receiving Yards
- Jeff Wilson led the running back room in his first game with the Dolphins, given his familiarity with Mike McDaniel’s offense.
- Was the only RB with a reception and had 21 yards
- At least one Miami RB has gone over this total in 6 of 8 games
- Jeff Wilson has gone over this number
We hope you enjoyed reading through these 5 Underdog Fantasy High/Low picks. As always, please play responsibly.
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