Josh Larky's Thursday Night Football Player Props Week 13

Below, you'll find three Thursday Night Football player props that I've put my soft-earned money on. For each line, I provide the sportsbook and the logical/statistical reasoning behind why I bet on the prop.

Update: Thursday afternoon weather reports show a higher probability of wind being a non-factor in this game. I still like the Josh Allen UNDERS, but wind is a much smaller piece of the puzzle now.

Josh Allen Under 270.5 Passing Yards (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Allen has 253 or fewer yards passing in four of his past five games.
- This is likely due to the elbow injury he's recently been dealing with.
The Patriots have only allowed a QB to hit this number in two of 11 games this season.
There will likely be high winds at Foxborough for this contest.

Wind definitely could be a factor for the #Patriots and #Bills -- especially early.

The @NWS forecasts 25-30 mph gusts with 10-15 mph sustained winds from kickoff through about halftime. After 10 p.m., no gusts with sustained winds staying 10-15 mph. https://t.co/It9QHHP0dW

— Dakota Randall (@DakRandall) November 30, 2022

Josh Allen Under 38.5 Yards Longest Completion (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Allen has been UNDER this number each of the past three weeks since he was diagnosed with an elbow injury.
The Patriots' pass defense prevents big plays, as only three of 361 opposing pass attempts have gone for 39+ yards this season.
- Those three completions of 39+ yards came in two of the 11 games this season.
Again, the wind will likely be a factor in this one.

Devin Singletary Over 12.5 Rush Attempts (-122 on FanDuel Sportsbook)

Devin Singletary has at least 13 carries in five of his past six games.
He has hit this OVER each of the past three weeks since Josh Allen's elbow injury was publicly revealed.
Weather likely impacts the passing game, and the Bills likely have a more run-centric game plan than usual.

We hope you enjoyed reading through these Thursday Night Football player props. As always, bet responsibly.