Analysis
11/28/22
2 min read
Josh Larky's Steelers vs. Colts MNF Underdog High/Low Picks
Below, you'll find three MNF Underdog High/Low Picks for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts game. For each line, I break down the logic/reasoning behind why I'm going HIGHER or LOWER for each player.
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Najee Harris LOWER than 86.5 Total Yards
- Harris has at least 87 total yards in only three of 10 games this season.
- The Colts have only allowed a RB to reach 87 yards in five of 11 games this season.
- The Colts only allow 3.8 yards per carry to opposing RBs.
- The Steelers' offensive line has struggled all season, allowing the RB to get hit at or before the line of scrimmage on 37.4% of carries (sixth-highest in the NFL), per Sports Info Solutions.
Matt Ryan HIGHER than 0.5 Interceptions
- Ryan has thrown at least one interception in five of nine games this season (nine interceptions total).
- The Steelers' defense has recorded an interception in six of ten games.
- T.J. Watt has played three games this year, and the Steelers' pass rush has helped them record an interception in all three of his games.
- Watt is once again healthy and active in Week 12.
Parris Campbell HIGHER than 43.5 Receiving Yards
- Campbell has at least 43 receiving yards in each of his past five games with Ryan.
- He has at least six targets in four of those past five games with Ryan, too.
- 16 WRs have at least 43 yards against PIT (10 games played).
- The Colts don't have a pass-catching TE of note, and five TEs have hit 44 yards against Pittsburgh, which should arguably be factored into Campbell's analysis in some capacity.
We hope you enjoyed reading through these three MNF Underdog High/Low Picks. As always, deposit your money responsibly.
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WATCH MORE: How to Bet Steelers vs. Colts.
