Betting
11/4/22
6 min read
Go Low on Packers, High on Cardinals in Underdog Fantasy Week 9
Below, you'll find 17 Underdog Fantasy High/Low Picks to put your hard earned money on. You'll find 12 picks from Josh Larky and five picks from Ben Wolbransky, who also collaborates with Josh (and Ryan Reynolds) on the Player Prop Happy Hour show every Friday.
For each line, Josh and Ben provide insight as to why they chose HIGHER or LOWER for a given player.
If you're new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up with promo code "33rd" for a 100% deposit match up to $100.
Aaron Rodgers LOWER than 268.5 Total Yards (Larky)
- Fewer than 255 total yards in every game this season.
Jared Goff LOWER than 247.5 Passing Yards (Larky)
- Packers have limited opposing QBs to fewer than 220 passing yards in all but two games.
- Only Kirk Cousins (Week 1) and Tom Brady (Week 3) have surpassed this number.
- Overall, Packers allow 188 passing yards per game to opposing passers.
Kyler Murray HIGHER than 0.5 Interceptions (Wolby)
- Thrown an INT in five of eight games (six total INTs).
- SEA has an INT in five of eight games.
Aaron Jones LOWER than 4.0 Receptions (Larky)
- Jones has higher than four receptions in only one games this season.
- Jones has lower than four receptions in six of eight games.
Reminder: If you're new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up with promo code "33rd" for a 100% deposit match up to $100.
Matthew Stafford HIGHER than 0.5 Interceptions (Larky)
- Stafford has an INT in five of seven games (eight total on the season).
- TB is one of the NFL's best pass defenses.
Joe Mixon LOWER than 68.5 Rushing Yards (Wolby)
- Mixon is LOWER in six of eight games.
- Saw his fewest carries on the season last week.
- CAR is an average run defense, allowing RBs to hit this number in four of eight games.
- Without Ja'Marr Chase last week, CIN abandoned the run and had an inefficient pass attack.
- Mixon was mainly featured on checkdowns.
Justin Herbert LOWER than 281.5 Passing Yards (Larky)
- Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are OUT.
- DeAndre Carter has an illness and may not suit up either.
- While ATL allows a league-high 306 passing yards per game to opposing QBs, via The Edge, Herbert's weaponry is so depleted that I struggle to see how he has a big day through the air.
Christian Kirk HIGHER than 54.5 Receiving Yards (Larky)
- HIGHER in five of eight games.
- The Raiders are the second-worst pass defense, via Football Outsiders' DVOA.
- LV allows the eighth-most fantasy points to WRs out of the slot, where Kirk primarily plays.
Noah Fant HIGHER than 3.0 Receptions (Wolby)
- Fant has hit or exceeded this number in four of eight games.
- Fant had six receptions (season high) in Week 6 against ARI.
- Nine TEs have done this vs ARI through eight weeks (hit every game).
- ARI is allowing the most receptions per game to opposing TEs.
- Second-most targets.
Reminder: If you're new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up with promo code "33rd" for a 100% deposit match up to $100.
Tua Tagovailoa LOWER than 266.5 Passing Yards (Larky)
- CHI sucks the life out of football games by being run-heavy and usually trailing.
- MIA should lead for most of this game.
- Only one QB has passed for HIGHER than 250 yards in a game against CHI.
- Only one QB has thrown more than 32 pass attempts against CHI.
- Tua has been LOWER than this number in half his games this season.
Marcus Mariota LOWER than 181.5 Passing Yards (Larky)
- Mariota has been LOWER than this number in four of his past five games.
- LAC is begging opponents to run against them, ceding an NFL-high 6.1 yards per carry to opposing backs, via The Edge.
Tyreek Hill HIGHER than 87.5 Receiving Yards (Wolby)
- Tua is facing the Bears, who run Cover 2 at a top-3 rate in the NFL.
- Tua is top-3 in yards per attempts when targeting WRs lined up wide.
- Hill has the fifth-most yards in the NFL when lined up wide (336).
- CHI hasn't allowed many passing yards to opposing QBs, but they have faced four bad passing attacks (NE, HOU, GB, NYG).
- Justin Jefferson had 154 yards against CHI's defense.
- Hill leads the NFL in receptions of 20+ yards.
Justin Fields HIGHER than 0.5 Interceptions (Larky)
- Fields has thrown an INT in five of eight games (six total).
- Last season, Fields threw ten INTs in 12 games.
Mac Jones HIGHER than 0.5 Interceptions (Larky)
- Jones has thrown an INT in all five games he's played this year (seven total INTs on the season).
Dalvin Cook LOWER than 99.5 Total Yards (Wolby)
- Cook is averaging only 15 receiving yards per game, but this line is 22 yards higher than his rushing total.
- Cook has HIGHER than 99.5 total yards in only one game this season.
- WAS D is perfectly average against RBs, allowing the 19th-most receiving yards and 21st-most rushing yards
- Both MIN/WAS have bottom-10 pass defenses, expect a pass-heavy game.
Devin Singletary LOWER than 14.5 Receiving Yards (Larky)
- Singletary is lightly used in games where BUF blows out their opponent.
- BUF is double-digit point favorites against NYJ in Week 9.
- Singletary has fewer than 14.5 receiving yards in all three games where they blew out their opponent.
- Pass-catching back Nyheim Hines was also just traded to BUF.
Reminder: If you're new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up with promo code "33rd" for a 100% deposit match up to $100.
Rondale Moore HIGHER than 41.5 Receiving Yards (Larky)
- Rondale has at least 49 receiving yards in three of his four starts this season.
- Rondale had 31 yards in his other start.
- Rondale plays in the slot, and SEA has allowed ten players to surpass 41.5 yards from the slot in 2022, via our free and flagship tool, The Edge.
We hope you enjoyed reading through these 17 Underdog Fantasy High/Low picks. As always, please play responsibly.
WATCH MORE: Start Curtis Samuel, Marquez Valdes-Scantling This Week
