Betting

9 Player Props for 2023 NFL Conference Championship Games

Nine of the best value player props available to bettors in the championship round of the NFL Playoffs.

Reynolds’ Top Props

Tyler Boyd OVER 31.5 yards receiving (-114 on FanDuel)

  • Tyler Boyd went over this total in 12 of 17 regular season games, and the Chiefs tend to struggle against slot wide receivers. Boyd also had 60 receiving yards when these teams played earlier in the season.

Kadarius Toney OVER 33.5 yards receiving (-115 on BetMGM)

  • Playing time is an issue, but I think Kadarius Toney is the second-best pass catcher on the Chiefs by a landslide. One of the things he does well is work the short passing game. He also had seven targets last week against the Jaguars, and I don’t think it was an accident.

Trey Hendrickson OVER 0.75 Sacks (+210 on DraftKings)

  • Trey Hendrickson is a high-quality pass rusher and had eight sacks during the regular season. He didn’t have a sack the last time these teams played but had 1.5 sacks in the AFC Championship game last year.

Wolby’s Top Props

Quez Watkins UNDER 15.5 yards receiving (-120 on FanDuel)

  • Last week, Quez Watkins ran just seven total routes. Watkins didn’t get benched but he wasn’t a big part of the Eagles’ game plan even when compared to Zach Pascal, who ran more routes than Watkins. Watkins has been under this number for three straight weeks.

Joe Burrow’s Longest Rush OVER 9.5 Yards (-120)

  • Kansas City has allowed 17 rushes of more than 10 yards to quarterbacks this season. That’s the fourth most among any team. Joe Burrow is averaging 3.5 non-kneel-down rushes per game, and he’s had four rushes in both playoff games this year. Burrow went over this number last week against the Bills.

Brock Purdy’s Longest Completion UNDER 35.5 Yards (-120 on DraftKings)

  • Brock Purdy only had four completions longer than 36 yards this season. On those four completions, 86% of the yards came from run after the catch. Those passes traveled an average of seven yards in the air.

 

Larky’s Top Props

Isiah Pacheco OVER 5.5 receiving yards (-120 on DraftKings)

  • In seven of his last eight games, Isiah Pacheco has had at least six receiving yards. He’s averaging 1.5 targets, 1.4 receptions and 15.5 receiving yards in the past eight games game.

Jerick McKinnon Longest Rush UNDER 9.5 yards (-105 on DraftKings)

  • Jerick McKinnon had just five of his 72 carries go for at least 10 yards. In his last seven games, he’s averaging six carries per game. The Bengals allowed just 3.9 yards per carry to running backs during the regular season.

Juju Smith-Schuster UNDER 3.5 Receptions (+135 on DraftKings)

  • In more than half of the games, Juju Smith-Schuster played he was under this number. He’s finished under this number in seven of his last nine games, too. Additionally, the Bengals allowed the fifth-fewest receptions per game to wide receivers this year.
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