Josh Larky, Ryan Reynolds and Ben Wolbransky each name five of their favorite player props for Week 18 in the NFL (through Saturday’s games, they are 3-for-3):
Larky’s Top-5 Props
Deshaun Watson OVER 18.5 Rush Yds (-115 FanDuel)
Watson has topped this number in all five of his starts this season. The Steelers will play tight coverage and bring pressure, which will cause Watson to use his legs.
D.J. Chark OVER 40 Rec Yds (+120 FanDuel)
Chark is averaging 49 receiving yards per game, 40 fewer yards than one-sixth of Goff’s passing yards prop on FanDuel.
Robert Tonyan UNDER 24.5 Rec Yds (-110 DraftKings)
From Week 10 on, Tonyan has averaged 2.6 targets, 1.7 receptions and 18 receiving yards per game.
Chigoziem Okonkwo OVER 2.5 Receptions (+110 FanDuel)
In the past six games, Okonkwo has averaged 4.5 targets and 3.5 receptions per game. (UPDATE: Okonkwo had three receptions in the Titans’ loss Saturday night).
Travis Etienne UNDER 68.5 Rush Yds (-114 FanDuel)
Etienne faced the Titans in Week 14, giving him 17 carries to test the run defense. Even with 17 carries, he had only 32 rushing yards. (UPDATE: Etienne finished with 17 rushing yards on Saturday against the Titans).
Reynolds’ Top-5 Props
Diontae Johnson OVER 51.5 Rec Yds (-114 DraftKings)
The Browns have given up the eighth-most PPR points to perimeter receivers, and Johnson leads the league in perimeter snaps.
Jamaal Williams OVER 52.5 Rush Yds (-115 DraftKings)
Williams has beat this number in 11 games this season, and this number is as high as 56.5 on DraftKings.
Geno Smith OVER 237.5 Pass Yds (-114 FanDuel)
The Seahawks are highly motivated, and the Rams have a better run defense than pass defense.
Allen Lazard OVER 48.5 Rec Yards (BetMGM)
Lazard plays 35% of his snaps in the slot and has beaten this number in 8 of 14 games this season.
Hunter Renfrow OVER 226.5 Rec Yds (-114 DraftKings)
Renfrow has beaten this number every time he’s played the Chiefs in games played before this season.
Wolby’s Top-5 Props
Deshaun Watson UNDER 209 Pass Yds (-115 DraftKings)
Since T.J. Watt has come back from injury, the Steelers are allowing 106 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks.
Geno Smith OVER 1.5 Pass TDs (-115 DraftKings)
The Rams run the third-highest rate of Cover 3 in the league, and Smith leads the league in touchdowns against Cover 3 with eight.
Tyler Boyd OVER 28.5 Rec Yards (-115 DraftKings)
Boyd, who averages 57 yards per game in games that Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins play in, will be going up against the Ravens, who allow the most yards to opposing wide receivers.
Cam Akers UNDER 74.5 Rush Yds (-114 FanDuel)
Akers has hit this number in the Rams’ last two games.
Christian Kirk Longest Reception OVER 21.5 yards (-120 DraftKings)
The Titans have allowed 36 receptions of 22 yards or longer to wide receivers, which ranks fourth in the NFL. (UPDATE: Kirk’s longest reception Saturday night was 33 yards).