Betting

10 Player Props for 2023 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round

Ten of the best value player props available to bettors in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.

Reynolds’ Top Props

Trevor Lawrence OVER 249.5 Yards Passing (-115 DraftKings)

  • Lawrence has beat this in nine of 18 games, so this is kind of his baseline performance. He also beat this earlier in the year against Kansas City… This is like a 65% outcome for me.

Lawrence UNDER 0.5 Interceptions (+115 DraftKings)

  • Lawrence has thrown a pick in only seven games this year, and did not throw one against Kansas City.

George Kittle UNDER 51.5 Yards Receiving (-114 FanDuel)

  • He’s under this number in five of Brock Purdy’s seven games. Dallas is giving up the fifth-fewest yards receiving to tight ends… I could see him being used more directly as a blocker in this matchup.

Larky’s Top Props

Christian Kirk OVER 63.5 (DraftKings -115)

  • I think we’d all take this into the high 60s. Kirk is over this number in 10 of 18 games this year. When the Jaguars and Chiefs played earlier this year, he caught nine targets for 105 yards and two touchdowns. On the season, the Chiefs allow the seventh-most fantasy points to the slot.

Travis Etienne OVER 17.5 Yards Receiving (-125 DraftKings)

  • Travis Etienne has been over this in nine of 18 games this year… In 17 games this year, 20 running backs were over 17.5 yards receiving against Kansas City. Overall, Kansas City allowed the fourth-most yards receiving to running backs this season.

Lawrence OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110 FanDuel)

  • We love this matchup. Every quarterback who faced Kansas City this season threw at least two touchdowns except Malik Willis, Bryce Perkins, Geno Smith (without Tyler Lockett), Russell Wilson in Week 17 (with two rushing touchdowns), and Jarrett Stidham.

DeVonta Smith OVER 63.5 Yards Receiving (-115 DraftKings)

  • In 10 of his 16 games since Week 1, he’s been over this number… He had eight targets in both games against the Giants, with 64 and 67 yards… Everything is pointing at both A.J. Brown and Smith to have great days.

 

Wolby’s Top Props

Brandon Aiyuk OVER 53.5 Yards (-115 DraftKings)

  • He’s averaging 12 more yards than this with Brock Purdy as his passer, and he’s 5-1 over this number… Wide receivers against Dallas with Aiyuk’s minimums, those receivers went 12-3 over this number.

Jerick McKinnon OVER 34.5 Yards Receiving (-120 DraftKings)

  • He’s been averaging 44 yards per game since the team’s bye week (removing Week 18)… The Jaguars allowed the second-most receptions and yards receiving to opposing running backs. Running backs are averaging five targets and four receptions per game against the Jaguars.

Patrick Mahomes Longest Completion OVER 38.5 Yards (-115 DraftKings)

  • He has the most completions of this long in the NFL… What I love most about this: 9-2 in the playoffs, with the two games he didn’t have a pass this long being his first career playoff game and the Super Bowl where his team only put up nine points… The Jaguars have the third-worst pass DVOA in the NFL.
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