Analysis

Matthew Hill’s NFL Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings

Matthew Hill's Week 13 Rankings

This article features my complete rankings for the week and blurbs highlighting players I have above or below consensus, according to how my rankings match up with the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR).

My initial rankings are made on my first impressions of the players based on matchups and recent trends. Look for updated rankings and additional player blurbs throughout the week as new information presents itself.

Top 20 Quarterbacks

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Patrick Mahomes II KC QB @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
2 Josh Allen BUF QB @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
3 Jalen Hurts PHI QB vs TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
4 Joe Burrow CIN QB vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
5 Justin Herbert LAC QB @ LV Sun 4:25pm ET
6 Trevor Lawrence JAC QB @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
7 Lamar Jackson BAL QB vs DEN Sun 1:00pm ET
8 Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB @ SF Sun 4:05pm ET
9 Dak Prescott DAL QB vs IND Sun 8:20pm ET
10 Geno Smith SEA QB @ LAR Sun 4:05pm ET
11 Justin Fields CHI QB vs GB Sun 1:00pm ET
12 Derek Carr LV QB vs LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
13 Deshaun Watson CLE QB @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
14 Tom Brady TB QB vs NO Mon 8:15pm ET
15 Kirk Cousins MIN QB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
16 Jared Goff DET QB vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
17 Jimmy Garoppolo SF QB vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
18 Mike White NYJ QB @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
19 Aaron Rodgers GB QB @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
20 Kenny Pickett PIT QB @ ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
  • Joe Burrow has finished as the overall QB1 in three of the past six weeks. It sounds like Ja’Marr Chase could have played last week, which leads me to believe Chase will not be limited much in his return.
  • Trevor Lawrence has finished as a QB1 in five of the last six weeks and gets Detroit in Week 13. He’s squarely in my top 10 and has top-five upside in a projected shootout.
  • Derek Carr has now thrown multiple touchdown passes in four straight games and gets the Chargers at home. The game is projected as Week 13’s third-highest total. His early ECR is several spots too low.
  • I understand it’s easy to label Mike White as a ‘flash in the pan” after his dismantling the Bears’ defense, which saw him throw for 315 yards with three touchdowns. However, he has done it before. White threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns last year in a shootout with the Bengals. His other three starts last season were far less impressive (vs. New England, Indianapolis and Buffalo), but I am willing to chalk that up to him losing confidence against three of the league’s top defenses. I like White’s chances to finish as a strong QB2 with QB1 upside against a Vikings defense that just allowed Mac Jones to pass for 382 yards.
  • I was on board last week with the trendy Taylor Heinicke sleeper pick as he took on the vulnerable Falcons secondary. Unfortunately for my Heinicke/Terry McLaurin stacks, Washington seemed content to pound the ball to the tune of 37 combined carries for 176 yards. I see Pittsburgh as more likely to let Kenny Pickett attack the Falcons’ defense this week.

Top 50 Running Backs

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Austin Ekeler LAC RB @ LV Sun 4:25pm ET
2 Nick Chubb CLE RB @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
3 Josh Jacobs LV RB vs LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
4 Derrick Henry TEN RB @ PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
5 Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB vs BUF Thu 8:15pm ET
6 Kenneth Walker III SEA RB @ LAR Sun 4:05pm ET
7 Christian McCaffrey SF RB vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
8 Jonathan Taylor IND RB @ DAL Sun 8:20pm ET
9 Saquon Barkley NYG RB vs WAS Sun 1:00pm ET
10 Dalvin Cook MIN RB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
11 Aaron Jones GB RB @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
12 Travis Etienne Jr. JAC RB @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
13 David Montgomery CHI RB vs GB Sun 1:00pm ET
14 Joe Mixon CIN RB vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
15 Isiah Pacheco KC RB @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
16 Alvin Kamara NO RB @ TB Mon 8:15pm ET
17 Miles Sanders PHI RB vs TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
18 Dameon Pierce HOU RB vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
19 Jamaal Williams DET RB vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
20 Tony Pollard DAL RB vs IND Sun 8:20pm ET
21 Najee Harris PIT RB @ ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
22 Jeff Wilson Jr. MIA RB @ SF Sun 4:05pm ET
23 Brian Robinson Jr. WAS RB @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
24 Devin Singletary BUF RB @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
25 Rachaad White TB RB vs NO Mon 8:15pm ET
26 Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB vs IND Sun 8:20pm ET
27 D’Andre Swift DET RB vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
28 Antonio Gibson WAS RB @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
29 Cordarrelle Patterson ATL RB vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
30 AJ Dillon GB RB @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
31 Kyren Williams LAR RB vs SEA Sun 4:05pm ET
32 Gus Edwards BAL RB vs DEN Sun 1:00pm ET
33 Leonard Fournette TB RB vs NO Mon 8:15pm ET
34 Zonovan Knight NYJ RB @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
35 Samaje Perine CIN RB vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
36 Latavius Murray DEN RB @ BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
37 Kareem Hunt CLE RB @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
38 Jerick McKinnon KC RB @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
39 Jaylen Warren PIT RB @ ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
40 Tyler Allgeier ATL RB vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
41 Jordan Mason SF RB vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
42 Cam Akers LAR RB vs SEA Sun 4:05pm ET
43 Dontrell Hilliard TEN RB @ PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
44 Ty Johnson NYJ RB @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
45 Tyrion Davis-Price SF RB vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
46 JaMycal Hasty JAC RB @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
47 James Cook BUF RB @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
48 Kenyan Drake BAL RB vs DEN Sun 1:00pm ET
49 Kenneth Gainwell PHI RB vs TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
50 Alexander Mattison MIN RB vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
  • Rachaad White saw heavy volume in his first game without Leonard Fournette, logging 14 carries and catching all nine of his targets. New Orleans has given up more than 90 yards to Najee Harris, Kenyan Drake and Eno Benjamin in recent weeks. His early ECR of RB15 is several spots too low. *UPDATE* Leonard Fournette returned to full practices this week and is expected to play. Rachaad White slides from borderline RB1 status to more of a low-end RB/Flex until we see how touches are distributed going forward.
  • Chicago looked rough in Justin Field’s absence. Even with the Bears only managing 10 points, David Montgomery was a volume-fueled, low-end RB2. Montgomery has combined for 37 touches the past two games, including six receptions, and will be another high-floor play this week against Green Bay’s rush defense, which gave up 143 yards rushing to Miles Sanders
  • Jamaal Williams has not been targeted since Week 8 and has averaged 63 rushing yards during his past three games. We all know about his nose for the end zone, but if he is not scoring multiple touchdowns, he does not have the yardage totals or receiving role needed for boom weeks. Detroit/Jacksonville does have one of the week’s highest totals, so Williams should get the opportunity for a multi-score game. I just feel his early ECR as a borderline RB1 is a little high. 
  • Isiah Pacheco’s early consensus ranking of RB22 does not make sense to me. Pacheco has seen his snap share rise from 22% in Week 9 to 56% last week. He has become the preferred option near the goal line the past three weeks including a league-high 12 in Week 12, with five coming within the five-yard-line. At $5,700 on Draftkings, rostering Pacheco is an inexpensive way to get plenty of touches in the slate’s highest total game. 
  • Kyren Williams, not Cam Akers, seemed to be the primary benefactor of Darrell Henderson’s vacated touches. Williams out-touched Akers 14 to eight and was the preferred back in passing situations. Williams has seen his touches increase each of the past three weeks (four, eight, 14). While a committee approach should remain, it seems likely Williams will be heading the committee in a plus matchup vs Seattle.

Top 65 Wide Receivers

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Davante Adams LV WR vs LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
2 Tyreek Hill MIA WR @ SF Sun 4:05pm ET
3 Justin Jefferson MIN WR vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
4 Stefon Diggs BUF WR @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
5 CeeDee Lamb DAL WR vs IND Sun 8:20pm ET
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
7 A.J. Brown PHI WR vs TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
8 Jaylen Waddle MIA WR @ SF Sun 4:05pm ET
9 Chris Godwin TB WR vs NO Mon 8:15pm ET
10 Tee Higgins CIN WR vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
11 Ja’Marr Chase CIN WR vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
12 Amari Cooper CLE WR @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
13 Keenan Allen LAC WR @ LV Sun 4:25pm ET
14 Christian Kirk JAC WR @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
15 Terry McLaurin WAS WR @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
16 DK Metcalf SEA WR @ LAR Sun 4:05pm ET
17 Garrett Wilson NYJ WR @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
18 Mike Evans TB WR vs NO Mon 8:15pm ET
19 Chris Olave NO WR @ TB Mon 8:15pm ET
20 Tyler Lockett SEA WR @ LAR Sun 4:05pm ET
21 Brandon Aiyuk SF WR vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
22 Christian Watson GB WR @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
23 Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR @ DAL Sun 8:20pm ET
24 DeVonta Smith PHI WR vs TEN Sun 1:00pm ET
25 Joshua Palmer LAC WR @ LV Sun 4:25pm ET
26 Courtland Sutton DEN WR @ BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
27 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC WR @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
28 Deebo Samuel SF WR vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
29 Diontae Johnson PIT WR @ ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
30 Gabe Davis BUF WR @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
31 George Pickens PIT WR @ ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
32 Treylon Burks TEN WR @ PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
33 Jakobi Meyers NE WR vs BUF Thu 8:15pm ET
34 Zay Jones JAC WR @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
35 Nico Collins HOU WR vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
36 Allen Lazard GB WR @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
37 Darius Slayton NYG WR vs WAS Sun 1:00pm ET
38 Tyler Boyd CIN WR vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
39 Adam Thielen MIN WR vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
40 Drake London ATL WR vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
41 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE WR @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
42 Curtis Samuel WAS WR @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
43 Van Jefferson LAR WR vs SEA Sun 4:05pm ET
44 Chase Claypool CHI WR vs GB Sun 1:00pm ET
45 Parris Campbell IND WR @ DAL Sun 8:20pm ET
46 Michael Gallup DAL WR vs IND Sun 8:20pm ET
47 Mack Hollins LV WR vs LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
48 Isaiah McKenzie BUF WR @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
49 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC WR @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
50 Olamide Zaccheaus ATL WR vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
51 Chris Moore HOU WR vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
52 Elijah Moore NYJ WR @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
53 DeAndre Carter LAC WR @ LV Sun 4:25pm ET
54 Devin Duvernay BAL WR vs DEN Sun 1:00pm ET
55 Jarvis Landry NO WR @ TB Mon 8:15pm ET
56 Jahan Dotson WAS WR @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
57 Alec Pierce IND WR @ DAL Sun 8:20pm ET
58 Demarcus Robinson BAL WR vs DEN Sun 1:00pm ET
59 Julio Jones TB WR vs NO Mon 8:15pm ET
60 Kendall Hinton DEN WR @ BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
61 Robert Woods TEN WR @ PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
62 Skyy Moore KC WR @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
63 D.J. Chark Jr. DET WR vs JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
64 Corey Davis NYJ WR @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
65 DeVante Parker NE WR vs BUF Thu 8:15pm ET
  • Zay Jones has 19 receptions on 28 targets in the past two games and gets Detroit next. Christian Kirk has received the headlines, but Jones has been nearly as impressive, bringing in at least five catches in six of 10 games. 
  • No fantasy manager is excited to start anyone in a Broncos uniform, but with Jerry Jeudy likely out this week, Denver’s passing attack seems like it could be consolidated. Kendall Hinton has snap shares of 97, 87 and 90% in the past three games and saw nine targets last week. Courtland Sutton has been a high-floor play, bringing in roughly five receptions each of the past three weeks for yardage totals of 66, 80 and 75. Denver will need to attack Baltimore through the air if they are going to compete with the Ravens, making Sutton a low-end WR2 and Hinton a deep-league flex. 
  • At some point, the fantasy community needs to accept Nico Collins has surpassed Brandin Cooks as Houston’s WR1. In the past three weeks, Collins has more targets (26 to 18) and receptions (16 to 12) than Cooks. The ceilings are capped for both in Houston’s offense, but Collins continues to be the better value and deserving of a higher ranking. *UPDATE* Brandin Cooks was surprisingly declared out on Friday, bumping Nico Collins into solid WR3 status and putting Chis Moore on the deep Flex radar.
  • Treylon Burks seems poised to build off of his breakout performance. In the past two weeks, he has 181 yards on 11 receptions and gets an Eagles defense that has given up 313 yards on 18 receptions to opposing WR1’s the past three weeks. His WR36 ECR seems like his floor. 
  • I get the Rams are a bit of a mess right now but so is Seattle’s defense. Van Jefferson has stepped into the role of the go-to receiver with Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson gone. However, the overall dysfunction of the Rams’ offense has him undervalued, especially this week. Jefferson turned his seven targets into three catches for 29 yards and a score in Week 12. While the yardage total was not impressive, the seven targets are encouraging enough to have him ranked several spots above consensus. 
  • Olamide Zaccheaus saw eight targets in Week 12, which was double what Drake London received in the low-volume Falcon passing attack. Zaccheaus turned those eight targets into five receptions for 91 yards. While I understand no one is excited to start a Falcons receiver, Zaccheus is locked into a high snap share, has some value in deep leagues and has a premium matchup against Pittsburgh. His early ECR is several spots too low. 
  • Elijah Moore only saw two targets in New York’s Week 12 blowout win, but he made them count. Moore turned his two targets into two receptions for 64 yards and a score. His ECR of WR60 is too low, as is his $3,700 price tag of Draftkings. This seems like an instance of wanting to get ahead of the breakout instead of reacting to it. I have him well ahead of consensus in what could be a high-scoring game at Minnesota. 
  • While Amari Cooper and Donovan Peoples-Jones should be popular plays in Deshaun Watson’s return to the field (and return to Houston), David Bell’s expanding role has been largely overlooked. After totaling 11 targets through Week 8, Bell now has at least five targets each of the past three weeks. He is ranked just outside my top 65. If you roster him, you probably are not playing him unless you’re desperate, but he is worth keeping an eye on to see if his role continues to grow.

Top 25 Tight Ends

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Travis Kelce KC TE @ CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
2 Mark Andrews BAL TE vs DEN Sun 1:00pm ET
3 T.J. Hockenson MIN TE vs NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
4 Pat Freiermuth PIT TE @ ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
5 George Kittle SF TE vs MIA Sun 4:05pm ET
6 Dalton Schultz DAL TE vs IND Sun 8:20pm ET
7 Hayden Hurst CIN TE vs KC Sun 4:25pm ET
8 Gerald Everett LAC TE @ LV Sun 4:25pm ET
9 Tyler Higbee LAR TE vs SEA Sun 4:05pm ET
10 Dawson Knox BUF TE @ NE Thu 8:15pm ET
11 Foster Moreau LV TE vs LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
12 Cole Kmet CHI TE vs GB Sun 1:00pm ET
13 Greg Dulcich DEN TE @ BAL Sun 1:00pm ET
14 Evan Engram JAC TE @ DET Sun 1:00pm ET
15 Juwan Johnson NO TE @ TB Mon 8:15pm ET
16 Tyler Conklin NYJ TE @ MIN Sun 1:00pm ET
17 Robert Tonyan GB TE @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
18 Logan Thomas WAS TE @ NYG Sun 1:00pm ET
19 Hunter Henry NE TE vs BUF Thu 8:15pm ET
20 Taysom Hill NO TE @ TB Mon 8:15pm ET
21 Jordan Akins HOU TE vs CLE Sun 1:00pm ET
22 Harrison Bryant CLE TE @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
  • David Njoku saw his snaps increase from 35% in his first week back from injury to 80% in Week 12. He saw seven targets and brought in five with a touchdown. Look for him to be a focal point in Watson’s return, making him a locked-in TE1 with a top-three upside. *UPDATE* Njoku has been declared out with a knee injury. Harrison Bryant becomes a low-end TE2 and an interesting, low-price DFS dart throw.
  • In the past three weeks, Foster Moreau has finished as a top-8 overall tight end twice and has the Chargers, in a game with a 51-point total, on tap. Moreau is a top-10 option this week.
  • Hayden Hurst has finished as a TE2 or better each of the past five weeks. He saw nine targets last week and should play a key role in the Chiefs/Bengals rematch. 
  • Jordan Akins has quietly turned in a pair of top-9 tight end finishes the past three weeks and Houston should have to air it out often in a game where they are seven-point underdogs. 

WATCH: Week 13 Waiver Wire Show

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