Analysis

Hill’s NFL Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings

If the fantasy football season is a story, Week 15 is its climax. Months filled with drama, action and uncertainty have built to this point. Every lineup decision is magnified as we begin the fantasy football playoffs and head toward the season’s resolution. 

This article features my complete rankings for the week, and blurbs highlighting players I have above or below consensus, according to how my rankings match up with the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR).

My initial rankings are made based on my first impressions of the players based on matchups and recent trends. Look for updated rankings and additional player blurbs throughout the week as new information presents itself.

Top 20 Quarterbacks

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Jalen Hurts PHI QB @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
2 Patrick Mahomes II KC QB @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
3 Josh Allen BUF QB vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
4 Justin Herbert LAC QB vs TEN Sun 4:25pm ET
5 Joe Burrow CIN QB @ TB Sun 4:25pm ET
6 Dak Prescott DAL QB @ JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
7 Kirk Cousins MIN QB vs IND Sat 1:00pm ET
8 Justin Fields CHI QB vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
9 Tom Brady TB QB vs CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
10 Trevor Lawrence JAC QB vs DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
11 Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB @ BUF Sat 8:15pm ET
12 Geno Smith SEA QB vs SF Thu 8:15pm ET
13 Aaron Rodgers GB QB vs LAR Mon 8:15pm ET
14 Daniel Jones NYG QB @ WAS Sun 8:20pm ET
15 Deshaun Watson CLE QB vs BAL Sat 4:30pm ET
16 Derek Carr LV QB vs NE Sun 4:05pm ET
17 Mac Jones NE QB @ LV Sun 4:05pm ET
18 Brock Purdy SF QB @ SEA Thu 8:15pm ET
19 Matt Ryan IND QB @ MIN Sat 1:00pm ET
20 Jared Goff DET QB @ NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
  • Dak Prescott has now failed to finish inside the top-10 passers for three straight weeks as Dallas has been content to lean on the running game. With a Jaguars defense that has allowed multiple touchdown passes in four of their last five games on tap, Prescott is poised to bounce back in a game with an early 48-point total.
  • Brock Purdy threw for a pair of touchdowns in Week 13, then repeated his multiple-touchdown effort in his first start last week. He now gets Seattle in a game with shootout potential. He is a value at his ECR of QB19.
  • Matt Ryan finished as the QB5 in his Week 10 return to the Colts’ starting lineup at Las Vegas. Since then, he has finished no higher than QB22 in a trio of difficult matchups. Ryan travels to Minnesota to take on a Vikings defense that just allowed Jared Goff to throw for 330 yards with three scores. He was the fourth quarterback in five games to have thrown for at least 330 yards against the Vikings. No one is excited to start Ryan but his ECR of QB22 seems too low considering the matchup and the health of his receivers.
  • Jared Goff’s back-to-back top five finishes has his ECR inflated in a cold-weather road game that has seen its shootout potential drop since Mike White was declared out. Goff’s last four road games he has finished as the QB29, QB28, QB22, and QB26.

Top 50 Running Backs

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Christian McCaffrey SF RB @ SEA Thu 8:15pm ET
2 Austin Ekeler LAC RB vs TEN Sun 4:25pm ET
3 Josh Jacobs LV RB vs NE Sun 4:05pm ET
4 Derrick Henry TEN RB @ LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
5 Jonathan Taylor IND RB @ MIN Sat 1:00pm ET
6 Dalvin Cook MIN RB vs IND Sat 1:00pm ET
7 Miles Sanders PHI RB @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
8 Tony Pollard DAL RB @ JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
9 Saquon Barkley NYG RB @ WAS Sun 8:20pm ET
10 Joe Mixon CIN RB @ TB Sun 4:25pm ET
11 Alvin Kamara NO RB vs ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
12 James Conner ARI RB @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
13 Nick Chubb CLE RB vs BAL Sat 4:30pm ET
14 Aaron Jones GB RB vs LAR Mon 8:15pm ET
15 Isiah Pacheco KC RB @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
16 Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB @ JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
17 Kenneth Walker III SEA RB vs SF Thu 8:15pm ET
18 Travis Etienne Jr. JAC RB vs DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
19 David Montgomery CHI RB vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
20 Brian Robinson Jr. WAS RB vs NYG Sun 8:20pm ET
21 Zonovan Knight NYJ RB vs DET Sun 1:00pm ET
22 Najee Harris PIT RB @ CAR Sun 1:00pm ET
23 J.K. Dobbins BAL RB @ CLE Sat 4:30pm ET
24 Rachaad White TB RB vs CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
25 Raheem Mostert MIA RB @ BUF Sat 8:15pm ET
26 Jamaal Williams DET RB @ NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
27 D’Andre Swift DET RB @ NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
28 Latavius Murray DEN RB vs ARI Sun 4:05pm ET
29 Devin Singletary BUF RB vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
30 Jerick McKinnon KC RB @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
31 Cordarrelle Patterson ATL RB @ NO Sun 1:00pm ET
32 D’Onta Foreman CAR RB vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
33 Leonard Fournette TB RB vs CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
34 Cam Akers LAR RB @ GB Mon 8:15pm ET
35 Antonio Gibson WAS RB vs NYG Sun 8:20pm ET
36 Chuba Hubbard CAR RB vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
37 Kevin Harris NE RB @ LV Sun 4:05pm ET
38 AJ Dillon GB RB vs LAR Mon 8:15pm ET
39 Dare Ogunbowale HOU RB vs KC Sun 1:00pm ET
40 James Cook BUF RB vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
41 Samaje Perine CIN RB @ TB Sun 4:25pm ET
42 Kareem Hunt CLE RB vs BAL Sat 4:30pm ET
43 Rex Burkhead HOU RB vs KC Sun 1:00pm ET
44 Michael Carter NYJ RB vs DET Sun 1:00pm ET
45 Gus Edwards BAL RB @ CLE Sat 4:30pm ET
46 Tyler Allgeier ATL RB @ NO Sun 1:00pm ET
47 Pierre Strong Jr. NE RB @ LV Sun 4:05pm ET
48 Alexander Mattison MIN RB vs IND Sat 1:00pm ET
49 Kenneth Gainwell PHI RB @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
50 Marlon Mack DEN RB vs ARI Sun 4:05pm ET
  • No one saw Jerick McKinnon’s RB1 overall week coming, and certainly, no one is expecting a repeat performance in Week 15. However, McKinnon’s brilliant Week 14 did shine a light on one of fantasy’s most underrated players in recent weeks. He has finished as a PPR RB2 (or greater) in four of the last six weeks. Kansas City’s matchup against Houston doesn’t get any better for a running back, and it would not be surprising to get strong performances from both McKinnon and Isiah Pacheco
  • Since Week 10, James Conner has finished as the RB4, RB13, RB5, BYE and RB8. He has seen at least 14 carries and has had multiple receptions in each game and scored a total of five times. He enters the week with an ECR of RB18 despite taking on a Denver defense that struggled against the run. Conner will likely be asked to take on an even greater role with Kyler Murray out for the season. 
  • Dare Ogunbowale and Rex Burkhead are both interesting with Dameon Pierce suffering a high ankle sprain last week. Burkhead entered the year in the passing-down role, seeing five or more targets in four of six games to start the season. It has been Ogunbowale, however, that has spelled Pierce in recent games, playing between 21-30% of the snaps since Week 12. Both backs have lead-back size and are strong receivers, meaning one of them is likely to smash their early ERCs. It will be worth closely monitoring news this week about which back is likely to see the most work.
  • Michael Carter returned and narrowly edged Zonovan Knight in snaps, 37 to 35. It was Knight, however, who continued to see the bulk of the touches, logging 17 of the Jets’ 22 carries, rushing for 71 yards and a score on his way to an overall RB13 finish. Knight remains a value as the early RB21 in a plus matchup against the Lions.

Top 65 Wide Receivers

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Justin Jefferson MIN WR vs IND Sat 1:00pm ET
2 Ja’Marr Chase CIN WR @ TB Sun 4:25pm ET
3 Davante Adams LV WR vs NE Sun 4:05pm ET
4 Stefon Diggs BUF WR vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
5 Tyreek Hill MIA WR @ BUF Sat 8:15pm ET
6 A.J. Brown PHI WR @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
7 CeeDee Lamb DAL WR @ JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
8 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR @ NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
9 Keenan Allen LAC WR vs TEN Sun 4:25pm ET
10 Chris Godwin TB WR vs CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
11 Mike Williams LAC WR vs TEN Sun 4:25pm ET
12 DK Metcalf SEA WR vs SF Thu 8:15pm ET
13 DeAndre Hopkins ARI WR @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
14 Terry McLaurin WAS WR vs NYG Sun 8:20pm ET
15 Chris Olave NO WR vs ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
16 Tyler Lockett SEA WR vs SF Thu 8:15pm ET
17 Jaylen Waddle MIA WR @ BUF Sat 8:15pm ET
18 Garrett Wilson NYJ WR vs DET Sun 1:00pm ET
19 Amari Cooper CLE WR vs BAL Sat 4:30pm ET
20 Christian Kirk JAC WR vs DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
21 Jerry Jeudy DEN WR vs ARI Sun 4:05pm ET
22 Brandon Aiyuk SF WR @ SEA Thu 8:15pm ET
23 Mike Evans TB WR vs CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
24 DeVonta Smith PHI WR @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
25 Christian Watson GB WR vs LAR Mon 8:15pm ET
26 Marquise Brown ARI WR @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
27 Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR @ MIN Sat 1:00pm ET
28 Tee Higgins CIN WR @ TB Sun 4:25pm ET
29 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC WR @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
30 Gabe Davis BUF WR vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
31 Allen Lazard GB WR vs LAR Mon 8:15pm ET
32 Zay Jones JAC WR vs DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
33 Diontae Johnson PIT WR @ CAR Sun 1:00pm ET
34 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE WR vs BAL Sat 4:30pm ET
35 Joshua Palmer LAC WR vs TEN Sun 4:25pm ET
36 George Pickens PIT WR @ CAR Sun 1:00pm ET
37 Darius Slayton NYG WR @ WAS Sun 8:20pm ET
38 Adam Thielen MIN WR vs IND Sat 1:00pm ET
39 Chris Moore HOU WR vs KC Sun 1:00pm ET
40 Elijah Moore NYJ WR vs DET Sun 1:00pm ET
41 Drake London ATL WR @ NO Sun 1:00pm ET
42 DJ Moore CAR WR vs PIT Sun 1:00pm ET
43 Michael Gallup DAL WR @ JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
44 Tyler Boyd CIN WR @ TB Sun 4:25pm ET
45 DJ Chark Jr. DET WR @ NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
46 Mack Hollins LV WR vs NE Sun 4:05pm ET
47 Curtis Samuel WAS WR vs NYG Sun 8:20pm ET
48 Van Jefferson LAR WR @ GB Mon 8:15pm ET
49 Parris Campbell IND WR @ MIN Sat 1:00pm ET
50 Jahan Dotson WAS WR vs NYG Sun 8:20pm ET
51 Demarcus Robinson BAL WR @ CLE Sat 4:30pm ET
52 Alec Pierce IND WR @ MIN Sat 1:00pm ET
53 Jameson Williams DET WR @ NYJ Sun 1:00pm ET
54 Nelson Agholor NE WR @ LV Sun 4:05pm ET
55 Robert Woods TEN WR @ LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
56 Ben Skowronek LAR WR @ GB Mon 8:15pm ET
57 Jarvis Landry NO WR vs ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
58 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC WR @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
59 Isaiah Hodgins NYG WR @ WAS Sun 8:20pm ET
60 Richie James Jr. NYG WR @ WAS Sun 8:20pm ET
61 Julio Jones TB WR vs CIN Sun 4:25pm ET
62 Isaiah McKenzie BUF WR vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
63 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN WR @ LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
64 Devin Duvernay BAL WR @ CLE Sat 4:30pm ET
65 Greg Dortch ARI WR @ DEN Sun 4:05pm ET
  • Ja’Marr Chase was the focal point of the Bengals’ offense in Week 14, catching 10 of 15 targets for 119 yards and a touchdown. With Tyler Boyd expected to miss one or two weeks with a dislocated finger, and Tee Higgins dealing with a hamstring problem, Chase is once again set up to be a high-floor/massive ceiling, target monster. *UPDATE* In a bit of a surprise, both Higgins and Boyd are expected to play tomorrow. Chase remains my overall WR2, though his floor is lowered a bit. I have Higgins conservatively ranked as borderline WR2/WR3.
  • Garrett Wilson has totaled 19 receptions, 335 yards and two scores on 30 targets during his last three games. Detroit is next. He is squarely in my top 10 this week. *UPDATE* Zach Wilson being named starter has Wilson dropping out of my top ten into the late teens.
  • Tampa Bay was a disaster in Week 14, losing 35-7 to San Francisco. Despite the Buccaneers doing little offensively, Chris Godwin still managed to score double-digit PPR points, bringing in five of nine targets for 54 yards. Having just seen his floor, Godwin and Tampa Bay’s offense as a whole is set up for a ceiling game at home vs Cincinnati. 
  • Everything seems to be lining up for Brandon Aiyuk to see double-digit targets for the first time since Week 7 in their road matchup vs. Seattle. In the two games where Aiyuk crested 10 targets, he scored 28 and 15 PPR points, finishing as the WR4 and WR18. 
  • Elijah Moore crested an 80% snap share for the first time since Week 4, bringing in six of nine targets for 60 yards. Moore trailed only Wilson in snaps and routes run as he stepped into Corey Davis’ void left after he left with a concussion. If Davis doesn’t get cleared, look for Moore to have a similar role in a potential shootout vs Detroit. *UPDATE* Like Wilson, Moore drops with Wilson returning to the lineup. You’re obviously playing Wilson, but Moore is a lot less interesting to me in DFS and I feel a lot less confident about plugging him into a playoff lineup I had “safer” options.  
  • With both Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks out, Chris Moore erupted, catching 10 of 11 targets for 124 yards in a tough matchup vs. Dallas, finishing as the PPR WR5. Moore will resume his role as the Texans’ go-to wide receiver against a vulnerable Kansas City secondary with plenty of garbage time likely on tap. 
  • Julio Jones has been targeted 14 times in the past two games with snap shares of 67% and 74%. *UPDATE* Jones heads into the weekend with a questionable tag. I still like Tampa Bay’s chances for a whole-offense bounce back, but limited practices takes some of the shine off of Julio’s sleeper status. 
  • Isaiah Hodgins has scored in back-to-back weeks and gets a rematch against a Washington team he posted a 5/44/1 line against just two weeks ago. He continues to be undervalued despite his expanding role. 
  • Trenton Irwin has a pair of touchdowns and three multi-catch games in limited snaps this season. With Higgins and Boyd both likely out, Irwin has deep league flex appeal as the Bengals’ likely No.2 wide receiver.*UPDATE* If Higgins and/or Boyd are playing, Irwin’s value tanks.

Top 22 Tight Ends

Rank Name Team Position Opp Kickoff
1 Travis Kelce KC TE @ HOU Sun 1:00pm ET
2 Dalton Schultz DAL TE @ JAC Sun 1:00pm ET
3 Mark Andrews BAL TE @ CLE Sat 4:30pm ET
4 T.J. Hockenson MIN TE vs IND Sat 1:00pm ET
5 George Kittle SF TE @ SEA Thu 8:15pm ET
6 Greg Dulcich DEN TE vs ARI Sun 4:05pm ET
7 David Njoku CLE TE vs BAL Sat 4:30pm ET
8 Dallas Goedert PHI TE @ CHI Sun 1:00pm ET
9 Cole Kmet CHI TE vs PHI Sun 1:00pm ET
10 Evan Engram JAC TE vs DAL Sun 1:00pm ET
11 Pat Freiermuth PIT TE @ CAR Sun 1:00pm ET
12 Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN TE @ LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
13 Gerald Everett LAC TE vs TEN Sun 4:25pm ET
14 Dawson Knox BUF TE vs MIA Sat 8:15pm ET
15 Darren Waller LV TE vs NE Sun 4:05pm ET
16 Tyler Conklin NYJ TE vs DET Sun 1:00pm ET
17 Taysom Hill NO TE vs ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
18 Hunter Henry NE TE @ LV Sun 4:05pm ET
19 Tyler Higbee LAR TE @ GB Mon 8:15pm ET
20 Austin Hooper TEN TE @ LAC Sun 4:25pm ET
21 Juwan Johnson NO TE vs ATL Sun 1:00pm ET
22 Jordan Akins HOU TE vs KC Sun 1:00pm ET
  • Dalton Schultz saw 10 targets in Week 14, bringing in six for 87 yards. He finished as the TE4, marking his third top-four finish since Week 10. He gets a Jacksonville defense this week that has surrendered a touchdown to a tight end in three of the past four games. 
  • Looks like my concerns about David Njoku being eased back in from injury last week were not warranted. Njoku played 96% of the snaps, running 48 routes, catching seven of nine targets for 59 yards and a touchdown, finishing as Week 14’s TE3. His early ECR of TE9 is too low. 
  • Cole Kmet has now finished as a TE1 in four of Justin Fields’ last five starts, including an overall TE1 and a TE2 week. 
  • Foster Moreau has finished at the TE20 or worse in six of eight starts but continues to be ranked as a low-end TE1 each week. Despite playing at least 90% of the snaps since Week 7, Moreau simply has not received TE1 volume, having only seen three or four targets in three of the last four games. *UPDATE* Darren Waller has a chance to play this weekend, further tanking Moreau’s value.

WATCH: Week 15 Waiver Wire Show

 

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