Breakdowns

Week 9 Statistical Review

Here’s a statistical breakdown of three NFL key games from Sunday:

Panthers vs. Chiefs

Panthers Smash the Gas

  • The Panthers got their star RB Christian McCaffrey back for the first time since Week 2
  • McCaffrey got to work quickly including a receiving TD in the first quarter
  • This was the 16th receiving TD of his career — most by any RB since 2017 (per NFL Research)
  • McCaffrey’s effect was felt quickly; he led the team in rushing yards and most receptions, with 2 total TDs
  • Teddy Bridgewater became the first player since Peyton Manning in 2014 to have passing TDs on his team’s first two offensive possessions at Arrowhead (NFL Research)
  • Despite the success at the beginning of the game, Bridgewater was conservative with the ball (5.3 yards/attempt in first half)

Disappearing Lead

  • The conservative play of Bridgewater finally caught up to the Panthers after the first quarter
  • The Chiefs began to explode and feed their playmakers:
  • Travis Kelce ended with 10 receptions for 159 yards
  • Tyreek Hill ended with 9 receptions for 113 yards and 2 TDs (including over half of his yards and 2 TDs in the second half)
  • On his first TD pass to Hill, Patrick Mahomes became the fastest passer to 100 passing TDs
  • With the 2 TDs today, Patrick Mahomes has 25 total TDs on the season with 1 INT
  • The only other QB with more TD passes in a season prior to throwing his second INT was Drew Brees in 2018, who had 26 TDs before second INT )per NFL Research)

They are now 2-4 in games decided by less than 10 points this season (FOX)

Seahawks vs. Bills

The Battle of MVP Candidates (Allen vs. Wilson)

  • Josh Allen came into the 2020 season with zero 300-plus passing yard games
  • He had 415 passing yards on the day with 4 TDs for a 138.49 passer rating
  • Josh Allen completed 86% of his passes for 282 yards and 3 TDs in the first half
  • The Bills came into the game as the sixth-best in the league in first-quarter points/game (6.5)
  • They started off hot Sunday with a three-play, 45-yard TD drive to start the game and 14 points in the first
  • This was the revival of the Bills offense that was seen at the beginning of the season:
  • They started off the season having scored 30.8 points per game in the first four games — bnly scored 18.8 ppg in the next four
  • Allen was under pressure all day, seeing a 27.7 pressure percentage
  • He was sacked 7 times with a decimated OL (center was out for the game and G Brian Winters went down in the second quarter)
  • The Seahawks only had 12 sacks going into the game but had 7 in this one
  • Russell Wilson had an uncharacteristic game, turning the ball over four times (2 INTs, 2 Fumbles)
  • The Seahawks came into the game scoring the most points in the first quarter/game but ended up with zero against the Bills due to Wilson’s first turnover in the end zone
  • Wilson has now thrown 7 INTs in the past five games; by comparison, Aaron Rodgers has thrown 6 INTs since 2018
  • The Seahawks were unable to overcome the early 17-0 deficit
  • This was due to Wilson seeing a lot of pressure on the day
  • He was knocked down 16 times, which is the most of any QB so far this season

Winning Ways

  • The Bills with this win remain in first place in the AFC East, which is unusual over the past 20-plus years
  • This is the latest in the season they’ve been in first place in the division since 1996
  • A lot of it is due to how head coach Sean McDermott runs his program
  • McDermott has put together a stellar defense with plenty of underrated options in the passing game
  • With a 24-10 lead for the Bills at halftime, the game was pretty much over as the Bills are 23-1 under McDermott since 2017 when leading at halftime

Ravens vs. Colts

Strength vs. Strength

  • The Ravens thrived last season in their ability to run the ball against everyone, by using everyone
  • This season, the Ravens have featured a similar approach (came into the game as the No. 1 rush attack (178.7 yards/game)
  • The Colts came into this game as the No. 2 run defense (79.9 yards allowed)
  • They were able to limit the Ravens to just 110 rushing yards, which was their lowest total in a win since Week 4 of 2018
  • The Ravens adapted and their defense stepped up
  • The Ravens defense had allowed a red-zone TD conversion rate of 81.3% (31st in NFL)
  • They allowed only 33% red-zone TD conversation rate in this matchup
  • They were also able to forced turnovers against a team that doesn’t often turn the ball over (1 fumble from RB Jonathan Taylor and 1 INT from Philip Rivers)

Story of Two Halves

  • The Colts came into the matchup 6-0 at home against the Ravens all-time and it looked like it might continue in the first half
  • The Colts were averaging 7.1 yards/play with about 11 minutes left in the second quarter, while the Ravens were only averaging 2.4 yards/play
  • The Ravens played even worse in the second quarter and ended the half with only 55 total offensive yards (1.8 rush yards in first half)
  • The 55 total yards for the Ravens was the lowest output in the first half with Lamar Jackson at QB — a full 40 yards below their previous low (per NFL Research)
  • When the second half hit, the game flipped including their 31st straight game with over 100 total rushing yards (per CBS)
  • The Ravens accumulated 68 yards on their first drive of the second half
  • The Ravens offense was able to do enough (210 second-half yards) but the defense truly stepped up
  • Marcus Peters notched his 30th career INT in his 85th game
  • He joins only HOFers Deion Sanders and Ed Reed to reach that number that early in his career (NFL Research)
  • The Ravens defense fueled their minimal offensive output – they have the most defensive TDs since 2018 (12)
  • They went on to win 24-10, marking their 31st straight game with 20-plus points. This sets a new NFL record, one more game than 2012-2014 Broncos (NFL Research)
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