Breakdowns
10/22/21
4 min read
Daily Fantasy: Week 7 Strategy Analyzer
Welcome to the Daily Fantasy Strategy Analyzer article for Week 7 of the NFL season. This week shapes up as an interesting one, as there are multiple potent offenses that have byes this week. We think there are a few juicy stacks for this weekend, and that is going to be the subject of this article.
Top Stacks
Patrick Mahomes + Tyreek Hill and/or Travis Kelce
Surprise, surprise. The Chiefs headline the top stacks in yet another week. Patrick Mahomes has a ceiling that only a few other quarterbacks can reach, and the same can be said for Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce at their respective positions. The Chiefs matchup with the Titans in Tennessee, as this game has a total north of 55 and still climbing. Both of these defenses are poor, as they are giving a combined 56.1 points per game.
The Chiefs' offense funnels through these three, and we expect them to put up points this week. We don't need much analysis to convince you. This writeup could've just had their three names and you'd say, "Yep. Let's stack the Chiefs." Choosing between Hill and Kelce can be tough if you can't get both. A ceiling game from Hill is probably around 50 points, which makes him appealing as he usually comes at lower ownership. However, a 30 point game from Kelce is far more valuable than a 30 point game from Hill. Many receivers can post 30 fantasy points, but only a handful of tight ends are capable of reaching that number. It's simple; Stack the Chiefs.
Aaron Rodgers + Davante Adams
You may add a third piece to this stack, such as Aaron Jones, Robert Tonyan, Randall Cobb or Allen Lazard. However, all you truly need is Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. The Packers' have one of the highest implied team totals on the slate, and they're facing a Washington defense that is begging you to pass against them. They rank 12th against the run, but a measly 28th against the pass. Rodgers' passing volume hasn't been extremely high this season, as last week he only threw 23 passes. However, that was most likely due to the Bears' sluggish pace. The Packers don't play at a necessarily quick pace, but they may go a little quicker this week, as the passing game looks like the best way to attack Washington.
Rodgers has more than 23.7 DraftKings points in four of six games this season, as he put up 19.04 and 3.32 in the other two. He hasn't thrown more than two touchdowns in a game since Week 2, so we're due for a Rodgers explosion at some point. Rodgers has notoriously beaten up on weaker opponents at home, and this week should be no different. We talked about Adams in our article yesterday, but he needs no introduction. If throwing in another Packer to the stack, we recommend Jones. He is second on the team in red-zone targets and sees a solid amount of volume on the ground as well.
Matthew Stafford + Cooper Kupp + Robert Woods or Tyler Higbee
Our third and final stack of the weekend is the Rams' passing attack. Similar to last week, they have a high team total against a weak opponent, and Darrell Henderson Jr. is projecting to be high-owned. What do we do in this situation when we don't want to take that ownership, but we believe the Rams will score points? Stack the passing game! It is also a revenge game for Matthew Stafford, as he matches up against his former team for the first time in his career. Stafford has averaged 24.2 DraftKings points per game and has gone over 20 points in five of his six games.
Cooper Kupp has a command of the team's target share, with Robert Woods behind him. Kupp has seen 33.53% of all targets and 35.71% of the red zone targets. Woods has seen 23.12% and 25% respectively. These two are the clear-cut top two options in this passing game, with Tyler Higbee following behind. Higbee gives you a chance to correlate your tight end with your stack. However, he is fourth on the team in overall targets with 11.56%. He has a little more red-zone work, as he has seen 21.43% of the team's red-zone targets. We prefer Woods to Higbee, but can't fault you for going that way.
