Breakdowns

Daily Fantasy: Week 6 Strategy Analyzer

Welcome to the Daily Fantasy Strategy Analyzer article for Week 6 of the NFL season. This week shapes up as an interesting one, as there are a couple of injury concerns on the slate, as well as a slew of stacking options. We’re going to spend this article trying to maneuver you through the injuries, and show you some potential primary, and secondary stacks in tournaments.

Injury Updates

There are a couple of injuries that are worth monitoring for Daily Fantasy purposes, and we’re going to recap them here

Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb has officially been ruled out for this week’s matchup with Arizona due to a calf injury. At first glance, it seems like Kareem Hunt would become a smash play. However, after digging deeper, that isn’t necessarily the case. Hunt averages 14.31 DraftKings points per game, with 3.28 receptions a game, and 9.36 carries in games where Chubb plays. In his four career games with Cleveland where Chubb didn’t play, Hunt has averaged 13.62 DraftKings points per game, on 2.5 receptions, and 16.25 carries. So Hunt has seen about 5-6 more touches per game without Chubb, but it hasn’t led to an uptick in fantasy points. The matchup with Arizona is appetizing, but due to his now inflated ownership, we are passing on Kareem Hunt in tournaments.

Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey has officially been ruled out for this week’s matchup with Minnesota due to a hamstring injury, and he will miss his third game in a row. This, once again, vaults Chuba Hubbard into fantasy relevance. Hubbard’s price hasn’t really changed since the McCaffrey injury, as he was $5,900 on DraftKings in Week 4, $6,000 in Week 5, and is $5,900 again now in Week 6. Hubbard flopped in Week 4, putting up 9.1 DraftKings points on 15 touches. Week 5 was a different story, as he handled 29 of the 33 touches for the Panthers’ backfield, and put up 21.4 DraftKings points without finding the end zone. Minnesota has given up the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, giving Chubbard an exploitable matchup. His ownership will be fairly high, but Hubbard is a solid play this weekend in all formats.

Primary and Secondary Stacks

Now we’re going to highlight some of our favorite stacks from this weekend. One of them is a primary stack that will provide some great leverage on a high-owned running back, and the other two are secondary stacks.

Matthew Stafford + 2 of Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp/Tyler Higbee + Giants runback

Looking at this slate from a macro perspective, Darrell Henderson is projected to be one of the highest-owned players on the slate. Leverage is one of the main things that we preach in these articles, and gaining leverage on Darrell Henderson is a focal point for us this Sunday. Henderson posting a poor score is nice, but we think it is unlikely that the Rams’ offense fails in this game. So if Henderson plays bad, and the Rams’ offense does well, what does that mean? The Rams’ passing attack!

These passing game pieces are coming with really low ownership, while the Rams have one of the highest team totals on the entire slate. This gives us a prime spot to target their passing game, as it is pretty condensed on the guys listed above. From the Giants, there are many bring-back options, such as Kadarius Toney, or Sterling Shepard. Shepard is returning from injury, and Toney is coming off of a great performance in Week 5. Toney is also banged up, but expected to play. Either of them makes sense as bring back options in this awesome leverage stack.

Jonathan Taylor + Brandin Cooks

Jonathan Taylor and Brandin Cooks correlate well together as they are the first option on both of their teams, and they fit together in a particular game script. With the Colts favored by over a touchdown, the expected game script is for the Colts to jump out to a lead and run the ball *cough* *cough* Jonathan Taylor. Once Indianapolis gets out to a lead, we expect Houston to have to throw to get back into the game. This is where Cooks comes into play. Cooks only saw 5 targets last week but was averaging 9.75 per game over the first four weeks. We think these two make a perfect secondary stack. It won’t be extremely sneaky, but shouldn’t be too highly owned.

Ja’Marr Chase + D’Andre Swift

This secondary stack pairs some youngsters with rookie wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase and second-year back D’Andre Swift. Detroit has gotten gashed by No. 1 wide receivers, as Deebo Samuel, Davante Adams, and Justin Jefferson combined for 24 catches, 434 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Detroit has allowed a 100-yard wide receiver in four of their five games, and the fifth was the matchup with Baltimore where Marquise Brown dropped multiple long passes. Swift has seen over 70% of the snaps in back-to-back games, and there’s no reason to think that changes anytime soon. Swift catches a lot of balls, as he has seen 5+ targets in every game. The Bengals gave up 40+ receiving yards to Dalvin Cook, Najee Harris, and A.J. Dillon, with Dillon getting a touchdown and Harris going over 100 yards. These two youngsters provide a solid secondary stack to a potentially high-scoring game.

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