Welcome back to the Daily Fantasy: Love it, Need it, Hate it, Lottery Picks article for Week 10 of the NFL season. The story of this week has been injuries, as we are awaiting the status of multiple key players for this weekend. Make sure you continue to check injury news to see who is in and out of the lineup.
Players in the “Love it” section are guys that we are excited to play in any format, regardless of the ownership that they may garner that week.
Dak Prescott ($6,900 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel)
Last week broke Dak Prescott’s streak of four straight games over 20 DraftKings points, as he put up 19.88. If you take out Prescott’s Week 2 stinker against the Chargers, he has averaged 26.15 DraftKings points per game. Prescott and the Cowboys offense is going to bounce back, and Atlanta looks like the perfect spot for that. We like to attack quarterbacks with a high implied team total, and the Cowboys are one of three teams with a team total of over 30 points.
Atlanta has been an up and down defense this year. They haven’t allowed a 300 yard passer this year, but they’ve allowed the 8th most DraftKings points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Taylor Heinicke and Tua Tagovailoa also almost reached 300 yards, as they each put up 290 yards through the air. Outside of Jalen Hurts and Tom Brady in Week’s 1 and 2, this defense hasn’t played any above average quarterback play. Prescott is an elite QB who has 3+ TDs in five of his seven games. Prescott should have a great performance on Sunday, and we will be playing him in all formats.
This section will contain guys who we believe are necessary when you are constructing a lineup for cash games. They are still viable in tournaments, but they aren’t necessary. We still like them as plays, but these guys may come with higher ownership, which could provide merit to fading them and going another route.
James Conner ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
With Chase Edmonds doubtful to play on Sunday, James Conner becomes one of the best cash game plays on both sites. Conner has 10, 16, and 21 rush attempts in games this year that Edmonds has suffered an injury. He also has been barely used in the passing game, but once Edmonds left last week’s matchup, Conner racked up 5 targets, which is half of his full season total. Arizona showed that they still have a high powered offense even without Kyler Murray, so investing in the lead back should be a successful strategy no matter who is quarterbacking.
The matchup isn’t phenomenal, which gives some reason to be skeptical of Conner in tournaments. Carolina has allowed the 2nd fewest receiving yards to running backs. Even though Conner doesn’t do much of his damage through the air, it makes his expected targets less valuable, Carolina also has allowed the 5th fewest DraftKings points to opposing running backs. Arizona may have to look to the receivers to get more damage done against this Carolina defense, as they’ve been fairly stingy on the ground. Conner is a great cash game play that could be worth a fade in tournaments.
Players in the “Hate it” section are guys that we do not want to roster that week in DFS for a number of reasons. They may have a bad matchup, they may be projecting to have too much ownership, they may be too expensive, or it could be a combination of the three.
Russell Wilson ($6,700 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)
On Sunday we will see Russell Wilson return to action for the first time since Week 5 as the Seahawks take on Green Bay in Lambeau field. We’re not sure how Wilson will be able to perform with his finger, which is one of the main reasons we aren’t excited about him. We don’t know how well he’ll be able to sling the ball, and Green bay has been a fairly stout defense all season long.
Wilson has also struggled against Green Bay recently. Ever since the infamous NFC Championship game, Wilson and the Seahawks are 1-4 in games against the Packers. Wilson has thrown only 6 touchdowns in the four games, and has only thrown above 250 yards through the air once. Wilson is priced around a lot of other appealing options at the quarterback position who we prefer to him this week.
The Lottery Picks section contains players who we think have the upside to be in tournament-winning lineups. As well as having the ceiling to win tournaments, these players also won’t come with too much ownership
Michael Pittman Jr. ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,200 FanDuel)
A lot of players are very excited about Jonathan Taylor this week, as he’s projecting to be one of the highest owned players on the slate. In tournaments, we’re extremely interested in the Colts’ lead receiver, not their running back. Michael Pittman Jr. has emerged in this offense, and he has 17+ DraftKings points in four of his last five contests. The Jaguars have been a dumpster fire all year, especially against opposing receivers.
Pittman has three games of 12+ targets, showing he has the ability to be the main engine of the Colts’ offense. If T.Y. Hilton returns this week, it’ll hinder Pittman’s outlook a little bit. However, even with Hilton back, we still think Pittman looks like an awesome tournament target at potential low ownership, and good leverage off of Taylor.