Betting
12/5/24
5 min read
5 Best PrizePicks More-Less Picks To Smash in NFL Week 14
The temperature is dropping, and the playoff picture is heating up, making Week 14 the perfect time to smash some PrizePicks.
Two of the top teams in the NFC go head-to-head on Thursday Night Football as Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers look to take down the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers will seek revenge against Jameis Winston and the Cleveland Browns. Sunday's slate of games wraps up with an exciting AFC West matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers.
Those divisional matchups will have massive playoff implications. Even some of the other less-exciting matchups could provide some great value when it comes to taking more-less picks on PrizePicks.
NFL Week 14 PrizePicks Lines
I know Packers fans, myself included were sad to see Aaron Jones go but man did we get ourselves an upgrade in Josh Jacobs
— Jake Eckberg (@JakeEckbergNFL) November 29, 2024
Top 5 back in this league 🤩🙌🏻 pic.twitter.com/ny5DH2ucUz
Josh Jacobs 90.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards: More
Believe it or not, there might not be another running back with a better matchup this week than Josh Jacobs.
The Lions have the second-best defense by DVOA this season, but the unit is now completely gutted by injuries. Key players like Aidan Hutchinson, Alex Ansalone, and Malcolm Rodriguez have all been placed on injured reserve. Meanwhile, the Lions have ruled out D.J. Reader, Josh Paschal, and Levi Onwuzurike for Thursday night's game.
A completely depleted front seven for Detroit means that the Packers could enforce their will on the ground on Thursday night, continuing to ride a red-hot Jacobs. The 26-year-old back has had more than 100 total yards in five straight games and will have a great opportunity for a sixth against the Lions.
Patrick MAhomes 242.5 Passing Yards: LEss
Patrick Mahomes has finally started to air it out a bit more in recent weeks. However, that won't be a winning formula against the Chargers defense, which is finding its identity.
The Chargers picked off Kirk Cousins four times in last week's win against the Atlanta Falcons. They now have the fifth-best pass defense by DVOA, leaning on players like Derwin James, Elijah Molden, and Tarheeb Still to make plays in the secondary.
This same Chargers team held Mahomes to 245 passing yards earlier this season, which is just a couple of yards over the number the Chiefs quarterback needs to hit for PrizePicks. However, with the Chargers finding their defensive identity and the Chiefs running out of motivation with the playoffs locked up, this is a game where the superstar quarterback might have a harder time airing it out.
Miami fire themselves back into the game!
— ESPN Australia & NZ (@ESPNAusNZ) November 29, 2024
First the De'Von Achane TD and then the 2-point conversion from Jaylen Waddle.
Still life in this ball game!
Watch the #NFL on ESPN! pic.twitter.com/s7XLDfVTRQ
De'Von Achane 4.5 Receptions: More
There isn't another running back in football this year being used in the passing game like De'Von Achane.
The second-year running back has a receiving stat line that looks like a good WR2 on other teams, catching 57 passes for 429 yards and six touchdowns. He's already surpassed 1,000 yards from scrimmage this season and needs just one more score to break double-digit touchdowns.
Achane has had at least five catches in four of Miami's last six games. He'll have a great matchup in the passing game this week, with the New York Jets ranked 27th in passing DVOA when covering opposing running backs.
Look for Tua Tagovailoa to throw Achane's way early and often this week.
Malik Nabers 73.5 Receiving Yards: Less
Malik Nabers is understandably frustrated, especially with how chaotic the quarterback position has been for the New York Giants during the last few weeks.
Despite such a strong start to his rookie season, Nabers hasn't broken 73.5 receiving yards in any of his last six games. While it doesn't matter for this PrizePicks more-less pick, it's also worth noting that Nabers hasn't had a receiving touchdown since Sept. 22.
The Saints are the No. 1 team in DVOA covering the No. 1 receiver. That's a startling number to see for a forgettable team in the NFC West. However, a secondary that includes ascending young players like Alontae Taylor will make it even harder for Nabers to get back on track on Sunday.
Players with more scrimmage yards per game than Bucky Irving (141) over the past month:
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) December 2, 2024
Saquon Barkley
Ja'Marr Chase pic.twitter.com/FmNahSmRfU
Bucky Irving 66.5 Rushing Yards: More
In a class filled with breakout rookie seasons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving continues to be one of the most productive.
Despite being a rookie, Irving is top-20 in the league in rushing with 732 yards and six touchdowns. He's surpassed Rachaad White as Tampa Bay's featured back, carrying the ball 50 times in the last three games for 313 yards and three scores.
The former Oregon running back isn't the biggest back at 195 pounds, but he possesses terrific contact balance to keep breaking tackles and moving the chains. The Buccaneers are becoming more and more willing to ride the hot hand with Irving, even giving him 25 carries last week.
Irving is becoming a fantasy football darling and a key part of Tampa Bay's offense. Expect another heavy workload this week.
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